Keepin' it real!
- Nov 2, 2003
- Reaction score
- Orange County, CA
I'm not a capologist, but I think the bonuses in his contract make him virtually untradeable. We'd have like 150 million in dead cap and there is no way to get out of that aspect for the next couple years.
You can get out of the deal in two years and it only hits you for 30ish mil. You can jump out earlier but you are hard re-setting because you have to eat 98 mil. Not a QB in this draft worth doing that for.
I thought the same myself, and said so here multiple times.
But then this article on SI Fan Nation quoted Dan Graziano on ESPN+ as saying:
So, perhaps there's more to Murray's contract structure than what's revealed on OverTheCap.com, which shows so much dead money that a trade would be inconceivable before 2024-2025.Murray's new deal does complicate things down the road, but there is a window that would be optimal for a deal says Graziano.
"The key date for the Cardinals is the start of the 2024 league year, at which time nearly $31 million in guaranteed 2025 salary and bonuses becomes fully guaranteed. If the Cardinals decide to cut Murray after the 2023 season, they'll have paid him $103.3 million for two years of service and they'd incur a dead-money cap hit of about $81.5 million in 2024 (or, if they cut him post-June 1, $48.3 million in 2024 and $33.2 million in 2025)," said Graziano.
"If the Cardinals want to trade Murray after this season, and if they were able to do so before picking up the 2023 option, they would carry just a $23.228 million dead-money charge on their 2023 cap. But that would require them to persuade a team to take on a contract that pays Murray a guaranteed $75 million or so over the next two years."
Aha, now I see that if you enter "Trade (post June 1)" in the pull-down on OTC, it shows $13M cap hits every year from 2023-2026, and a $7M cap hit in 2027. I'm not exactly sure how that works, and am suspicious that it's quite different from Graziano's numbers and the "Trade (pre June 1)" numbers.
But if Graziano or those numbers are correct, the impossibility in moving on from Murray after this season would not be in the monstrous cap charge, but finding a trade partner to take on his salary with him coming off the major injury. Maybe it could be done with a Brock Osweiler kind of deal.