kerouac9
Klowned by Keim
In 2011, when the Arizona Cardinals made a number of “big splashes” in free agency—signing TEs Jeff King and Todd Heap, OG Daryn Colledge, LB Stewart Bradley, and some other players while trading and extending the contract of Kevin Kolb—the new collective bargaining agreement was barely complete, and the contours of that agreement hadn’t fully been understood.
The “old way” of approaching free agency was to fill the starting slots in your roster with an eye to drafting the best players available at your most talent-poor positions to improve the overall quality of your roster.
Now that the new CBA has been in place for two offseasons and teams are coming to grips with a salary cap that expands by tenths of a percent instead of ten percent every year, franchises’ approaches to free agency have changed as well. And it’s going to re-shape how rosters function in the NFL. The “old way” was described by former Houston Texans GM Charley Casserly last year in an NFL.com piece: you have a dozen “core players,” a dozen solid roster players, and then the last two-dozen players on your roster are either developing or specialty veterans.
The new CBA really constrains teams from keeping that second category of players under contract. Guys who used to make between $3-6M per year weren’t the team’s stars, but they’d be players under second contracts who could be depended on to be good players on four- to six-year second contracts.
Those kinds of players are going to disappear in the NFL. The NFL under the new CBA is going to be a team with 8-10 stars making between $8-10M a year, two draft classes of 4-6 players, and then a bunch of pending free agents and veterans on one-year deals.
Teams with those 8-10 star players on the roster are going to be able to gracefully transition to the new NFL and still compete, as will teams with newly-minted starting quarterbacks drafted after the new CBA in 2011—high-quality starters playing for less than $5M per year. For the Arizona Cardinals, the transition is going to be much more challenging for the fan base.
The Cards are in a challenging position not because they lack solid role players—they’re in a challenging position because they’ve been unable to identify and develop star players at two very important positions (quarterback and pass rusher) while failing to draft and develop solid players on the offensive line.
What the Cards have done RIGHT this offseason is shed their dumbest contracts (Kolb and Bradley) while not taking on more dumb contracts.
What the Cards have done WRONG is fail to give fans any reason to expect that they’re going to field a competitive team in 2013. The ridiculous on-sheet promoting Bruce Arians on the Cards’ website is an example of the farce that Arizona Cardinals fans can expect this season.
What NFL fans in general Cardinals fans in particular can expect in the years to come is 30% roster turnover every season, as more middle-of-the-road veterans at non-impact positions which used to be considered core roster spots (#2 and #3 WR, #2 and #3 CB, safety, two-down linebacker, etc.) are going to be turned over on a fairly consistent one- to two-year cycle.
What the Arizona Cardinals are going to need to do in the draft going forward is draft almost exclusively at impact, core-roster positions like OL, QB, RB, TE, rush linebacker, and defensive line). The issue is that while Steve Keim and the scouting department have been good at finding contributors at non-impact positions in the middle and late rounds of the draft, they haven’t been able to identify players at impact positions who can become starters. What we’ve ended up with is drafting guys like Greg Toler who we develop and then release into free agency when we could have gotten that production from a half-dozen different free agents. We’ve also drafted fullbacks and kick returners and slot receivers only to watch them leave.
Every team in the NFL is going to push their chips into the center of the table on their ability to draft. The Arizona Cardinals are going to unfortunately take out the mistakes of the past on their fan base for another season. We can only hope that Keim and Licht can transfer their acumen at identifying role players in the draft to drafting core players whom we’ll be happy to keep on the roster on a second contract, as well as impact players like Calais Campbell, Daryl Washington, Patrick Peterson, and possibly Rob Housler whom we’ll make fantastically wealthy and the cornerstones of the franchise.
The “old way” of approaching free agency was to fill the starting slots in your roster with an eye to drafting the best players available at your most talent-poor positions to improve the overall quality of your roster.
Now that the new CBA has been in place for two offseasons and teams are coming to grips with a salary cap that expands by tenths of a percent instead of ten percent every year, franchises’ approaches to free agency have changed as well. And it’s going to re-shape how rosters function in the NFL. The “old way” was described by former Houston Texans GM Charley Casserly last year in an NFL.com piece: you have a dozen “core players,” a dozen solid roster players, and then the last two-dozen players on your roster are either developing or specialty veterans.
The new CBA really constrains teams from keeping that second category of players under contract. Guys who used to make between $3-6M per year weren’t the team’s stars, but they’d be players under second contracts who could be depended on to be good players on four- to six-year second contracts.
Those kinds of players are going to disappear in the NFL. The NFL under the new CBA is going to be a team with 8-10 stars making between $8-10M a year, two draft classes of 4-6 players, and then a bunch of pending free agents and veterans on one-year deals.
Teams with those 8-10 star players on the roster are going to be able to gracefully transition to the new NFL and still compete, as will teams with newly-minted starting quarterbacks drafted after the new CBA in 2011—high-quality starters playing for less than $5M per year. For the Arizona Cardinals, the transition is going to be much more challenging for the fan base.
The Cards are in a challenging position not because they lack solid role players—they’re in a challenging position because they’ve been unable to identify and develop star players at two very important positions (quarterback and pass rusher) while failing to draft and develop solid players on the offensive line.
What the Cards have done RIGHT this offseason is shed their dumbest contracts (Kolb and Bradley) while not taking on more dumb contracts.
What the Cards have done WRONG is fail to give fans any reason to expect that they’re going to field a competitive team in 2013. The ridiculous on-sheet promoting Bruce Arians on the Cards’ website is an example of the farce that Arizona Cardinals fans can expect this season.
What NFL fans in general Cardinals fans in particular can expect in the years to come is 30% roster turnover every season, as more middle-of-the-road veterans at non-impact positions which used to be considered core roster spots (#2 and #3 WR, #2 and #3 CB, safety, two-down linebacker, etc.) are going to be turned over on a fairly consistent one- to two-year cycle.
What the Arizona Cardinals are going to need to do in the draft going forward is draft almost exclusively at impact, core-roster positions like OL, QB, RB, TE, rush linebacker, and defensive line). The issue is that while Steve Keim and the scouting department have been good at finding contributors at non-impact positions in the middle and late rounds of the draft, they haven’t been able to identify players at impact positions who can become starters. What we’ve ended up with is drafting guys like Greg Toler who we develop and then release into free agency when we could have gotten that production from a half-dozen different free agents. We’ve also drafted fullbacks and kick returners and slot receivers only to watch them leave.
Every team in the NFL is going to push their chips into the center of the table on their ability to draft. The Arizona Cardinals are going to unfortunately take out the mistakes of the past on their fan base for another season. We can only hope that Keim and Licht can transfer their acumen at identifying role players in the draft to drafting core players whom we’ll be happy to keep on the roster on a second contract, as well as impact players like Calais Campbell, Daryl Washington, Patrick Peterson, and possibly Rob Housler whom we’ll make fantastically wealthy and the cornerstones of the franchise.