History of runningbacks taken top 10:
Jeanty: Raiders - 6
Bijan: Falcons - 8
Saquon: Giants - 2
Fournette: Jags - 4
CMC: Panthers - 8
Zeke: Cowboys - 4
Gurley: Rams - 10
Trent Richardson: Browns - 3
CJ Spiller: Bills - 9
That's everyone since 2010. The majority of these selections have earned their team years of mockery and only found success on their second teams. The good ones, Zeke and Gurley, were both completely washed by their 5th year in the league.
If you told me a RT in this draft would only give up 4 sacks a year for the next 12 years I would sprint to the podium. Now if we take a RT and he sucks that would be awful, there's a certainly a risk to that with these prospects.
Jeanty - Jury is out
Saquon - Stud with 2 teams
Bijan - Jury is out...Way underutilized with 1 HC
Fournette - Stud at times, but almost zero motivation
CMC - Stud with 2 teams
Zeke - Dominant for short time, then fell off a cliff
Gurley - Bad knees did him in, but was awesome for a short time
Richardson and Spiller - Sucked
What's the hit rate on 1st round picks, overall? Not just RBs? It's less than 55%...and according to reports, TEs have the highest success and WRs have the lowest. Based on the list above, these RBs are about league average for 1st round success. I think the reason people think it's worse for RBs is that the position has so much focus and attention on it.