Wow. One UofA alum posts on this thread and the post count doubles in 12 hours.
Interesting 7-8 prediction. It could be that way, depending on how the D does. Who does ASU lose to?
You have ASU winning against ND, @ntOSU, @UofA, @Washington, and Stanford. All five of those games are toss-ups, IMO. ASU would be very fortunate to go 5-0 in this group. A more realistic prediction is 3-2, and in your shoes, I would be thrilled with that outcome.
So what is your prediction for the Territorial Cup this year?
Are you new to the rivalry?
One does not simply predict the outcome of the TC game. The past four years, the clear-cut favorite lost 3 out of 4 times (last year, ASU was hands-down the favorite).
Offense:
QB: ASU > UA
RB: ASU > UA
WR/TE: Draw, maybe slight edge to UofA
O Line: ASU > UA
Special Teams:
Kicker: ASU > UA
Punter: UA > ASU
Return: Draw
Defense:
D-Line: UA > ASU
Linebackers: UA > ASU
Secondary: ASU > UA
SO UA has a clear edge in punting (punt flag!) only because ASU has been so woeful, and in the front 7 on defense but thats more because ASU is a mystery than known to be bad, we don't know yet.
I'd say being significantly more talented at most position groups does indeed make them significantly more talented.
QB is the most important position in college football, especially in the P-12, and ASU is so far beyond UofA in that regard its not even close. ASU's back up QB would be in his 3rd year starting for UofA this year.
I could easily see ASU "only" winning 8 games because of youth on defense, but that's far from a bad season. Graham has got ASU ahead of schedule that is for sure.
See Mao's post below, which echoes my sentiments:
UA is returning four starters on the offensive line, I'd say we're better there. After Strong there's a lot of unproven receivers for you as well. I think ASU will end up being better on the defensive line but we'll be better in the secondary. From an overall standpoint the talent isn't that far off but your proven Taylor Kelly definitely gives you the overall advantage vs our question mark.
That being said I'm not really worried about UA's quarterback situation. RichRod has found a way to score points with guys who can't even throw the ball like Denker and Denard Robinson so I think he'll figure it out with one of four former 4* QB's.
You're only clearly better at RB (and I don't like DJ Foster).
Defense, it's a toss-up in the front 7 (6), but UofA has crazy depth in the secondary, which is paramount when playing a 3-3-5 scheme.
I think people are taking the QB battle out of context. One of four healthy 4-star QBs will be throwing to arguably the best WR corp in NCAAFB. All four are a significant upgrade over Denker. There are few offensive-minded coaches in football I don't question; RichRod is one of them. I trust he'll pick the right QB. Additionally, QB battles aren't a death sentence like they are in the NFL (see - ASU 2012)
Take into consideration that even with guys like Sutton and Bradford in the fold, ASU gave up 27 ppg last season. Now, ASU is faced with the challenge of replacing 9 starters on defense. Yowsers.
I am a little surprised people are worried about Washington this much. They lost Sefarian-Jenkins and Sankey to the draft. They kicked their best WR off of the team, suspended their starting QB in the same incident. Washington didn't have a great defense last year and they have not beaten ASU in 13 years. I think we are much more likely to lose to UCLA at home, than Washington.
Agree regarding Washington. They're getting crazy love because of Chris Peterson. I don't buy all of the hype, but playing Washington in Seattle especially on a rainy day is never fun.
and ASU has the what some are calling the best single WR in the country, J. Strong, and someone who can actually get him the ball.
UAs wide outs can be open all day, who's going to toss it to them? ASU also has a lot of very highly touted guys coming in at WR, and DJ Foster will play in the slot a lot as well.
RichRod is an offensive genius with four healthy 4-star recruits battling it out for the position. You'll be a very disappointed sun devil if you think UofA's offense will be inefficient. Even with Carey off to the NFL, this team will score more points than last season.