I'm not educated enough to answer that question, but this thread seems to have some good insight:
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Specific to Bailey vs. Carter:
"I was a big fan of Carter last year and I believe he probably has the edge in regards to pure athleticism, but I'd still have them on the same tier as a prospect. I think Bailey has a better blend of power/speed with really polished finesse moves to go with it. Carter was able to rely more on his freak athleticism to win at the point of attack, whereas Bailey is a more well-rounded edge rusher. They both have All-Pro potential in their future, but if I had to pick between the two, I'd lean slightly towards Bailey."
Comparing the 3 flavors:
"We have three edge rushers who are completely different from each other and all can be really special. I think Bailey is the safest option, great tools for pass rusher high motor just wants to kill his guy the most traditional pass rusher prospect of the three. Bain will end up being one of the best interior rushers in the nfl which is a position that will increase in value. I don’t think he can hang with elite tackles in the nfl just on his measurable. Reese has the highest ceiling but has limited reps showing his pass rush ability , his athleticism and him playing as a linebacker means he can chases down mobile QBs . You can play 4-3 ,3-4 hybrid defense with him on the field which if you have the right coordinators can be really cool."
FWIW, these guys love Bailey:
- "Bailey has an elite first step that allows him to beat tackles off the line with quickness. He packs a violent first punch at the POA and can knock linemen who are much heavier off of their pass set. His pass rush repertoire is extensive and very polished, as he has above average rip, swipe, and spin moves he can use when he does not beat them with speed, plus an improving speed-to-power move."
- "Against the run, Bailey consistently plays through the whistle and can out-leverage much bigger linemen in order to disrupt running backs in the backfield. His first-step agility allows him to sidestep tackles and create early wins. He does a good job jabbing to create space on the outside and prefers to work out around blocks instead of through them."
- "Bailey can afford to add more mass into his frame without sacrificing his quickness as a pass rusher. Against top competition, he may struggle to use long-arm power moves given the size mismatch. Bailey can lose some rush lane integrity on his pursuit of the quarterback, especially when running wide. He will need to continue to improve his counter moves if he wants to maintain his rate of pressure on the quarterback."
- One of the stats we track is "expected pressure rate." This compares a player's actual pressure rate to the rate expected vs alignment, situation, and other factors. Bailey's pressure rate was 24% vs an expected rate of 12%. The 12% differential was the biggest for any EDGE prospect in this year's draft class.
In any event, I don't think I'm taking a RT over these guys.