Not Much Margin for Error

Harry

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Having predicted the Cards will be playoff contenders, it’s important to realize what it would take to get there. One of the surprisingly hard things to do in the NFL is win all the games you’re supposed to win. If the Cards can do that and grab a couple of tossup games, they’re in.

The Pats spent a lot of dollars in free agency. One of the major issues they’ll face is trying to integrate all the new players in with the holdovers. There’s no question they have better personnel but maximizing it is a huge challenge. In the NFL it usually takes 4 season games to coordinated multiple additions.

It’s clear the Cards start with a couple of those “supposed to win” games. New Orleans is struggling to even field a competitive team. Their offensive line is in near total disarray. Their starting QB was chosen based on the lesser of two evils, the previous QB having selected retirement over rehab. The defense is worried about potential cuts to Social Security.

This game should be tailor-made for the rebuilt Cardinal pass rush, though the Saints have a decent receiving corps. It will be up to that rush to make certain those receivers don’t keep the Saints in the game. The Saints have a decent multi-facet weapon in Kamara, but he’s aging. The Cards’ new Dline & LBs will play the major role in containing him and should be up to the task.

On defense the Saints likely will be vulnerable to the run. This is aggravated by the Cards featuring a run first offense. The Cards must control time of possession, making certain the defense stays fresh. The Cards DTs will need to rest more than normal, though their rotation should be adequate. It’s noteworthy that the Saints also struggled to apply pressure on the passer, though they’ve acquired reinforcements. Murray should be able to punch holes as the defense shifts personnel to try to shore up against the run defense.

There is no excuse to lose this game if the Cards are really going to contend.

Game 2 features the New England Patriots. The Pats are a better team than the Saints. About all you need to say about their offense is the QB corps is so weak they claimed a New York Giants QB cut.

The defense ranked poorly last season, but should be better with their additions. Their pass rush requires less coordination, so it may be a good test for the Cards’ offensive line. Murray will have to show poise and judgment. It could be a revenge game if Brissett gets to play. Look for him on sneaks. The Pats hope to be tougher on the Dline if Barmore is ready to play. They’re not outstanding, but they could be at least competent. This will also be an interesting test if the Oline is solid. Nonetheless the Cards must avoid turnovers and generate enough decent drives to put points on the board. Points may not come easy, but a good offense will score a sufficient amount of points.

On defense the Cards’ pass rush, hopefully, will run Maye out of the stadium. If they don’t get cute and try to holdback some of their blitzes and stunts, the Cards pass rush should be dominant. The Pats have reinforced their Oline, but coordination should be lacking. They’ve also added Diggs to their WR group, but the Cards must not give Maye time to find him. The Cards also need to watch their rush lanes as Maye loves to run.

I think it’s fortunate the Cards catch the Pats early. Later in the season I expect them to be much tougher. It will, however, be critical not to take this team for granted. The Cards, in recent years, have started slowly against teams they should control. If they make that mistake, this could be a tough game. Truly good teams don’t lose games like this. This will tell all of us a great deal about the character of this team.
 

PACardsFan

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Having predicted the Cards will be playoff contenders, it’s important to realize what it would take to get there. One of the surprisingly hard things to do in the NFL is win all the games you’re supposed to win. If the Cards can do that and grab a couple of tossup games, they’re in.

The Pats spent a lot of dollars in free agency. One of the major issues they’ll face is trying to integrate all the new players in with the holdovers. There’s no question they have better personnel but maximizing it is a huge challenge. In the NFL it usually takes 4 season games to coordinated multiple additions.

It’s clear the Cards start with a couple of those “supposed to win” games. New Orleans is struggling to even field a competitive team. Their offensive line is in near total disarray. Their starting QB was chosen based on the lesser of two evils, the previous QB having selected retirement over rehab. The defense is worried about potential cuts to Social Security.

This game should be tailor-made for the rebuilt Cardinal pass rush, though the Saints have a decent receiving corps. It will be up to that rush to make certain those receivers don’t keep the Saints in the game. The Saints have a decent multi-facet weapon in Kamara, but he’s aging. The Cards’ new Dline & LBs will play the major role in containing him and should be up to the task.

On defense the Saints likely will be vulnerable to the run. This is aggravated by the Cards featuring a run first offense. The Cards must control time of possession, making certain the defense stays fresh. The Cards DTs will need to rest more than normal, though their rotation should be adequate. It’s noteworthy that the Saints also struggled to apply pressure on the passer, though they’ve acquired reinforcements. Murray should be able to punch holes as the defense shifts personnel to try to shore up against the run defense.

There is no excuse to lose this game if the Cards are really going to contend.

Game 2 features the New England Patriots. The Pats are a better team than the Saints. About all you need to say about their offense is the QB corps is so weak they claimed a New York Giants QB cut.

The defense ranked poorly last season, but should be better with their additions. Their pass rush requires less coordination, so it may be a good test for the Cards’ offensive line. Murray will have to show poise and judgment. It could be a revenge game if Brissett gets to play. Look for him on sneaks. The Pats hope to be tougher on the Dline if Barmore is ready to play. They’re not outstanding, but they could be at least competent. This will also be an interesting test if the Oline is solid. Nonetheless the Cards must avoid turnovers and generate enough decent drives to put points on the board. Points may not come easy, but a good offense will score a sufficient amount of points.

On defense the Cards’ pass rush, hopefully, will run Maye out of the stadium. If they don’t get cute and try to holdback some of their blitzes and stunts, the Cards pass rush should be dominant. The Pats have reinforced their Oline, but coordination should be lacking. They’ve also added Diggs to their WR group, but the Cards must not give Maye time to find him. The Cards also need to watch their rush lanes as Maye loves to run.

I think it’s fortunate the Cards catch the Pats early. Later in the season I expect them to be much tougher. It will, however, be critical not to take this team for granted. The Cards, in recent years, have started slowly against teams they should control. If they make that mistake, this could be a tough game. Truly good teams don’t lose games like this. This will tell all of us a great deal about the character of this team.
We play Carolina in week 2, not the Patriots. Yes, we should beat the Saints in the opener, but week 1 in the NFL is always bizarre. That’s a wild crowd & we need to jump out quick to silence their fans. The Saints were bad last year but scored 40+ points in their opener. Pretty sure they started last year 2-0. Even when they’re bad, they’re a tough out at home.
 

kerouac9

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The Saints were bad last year but scored 40+ points in their opener.
Against Carolina, but I agree. Looking back at the Week 1 results from last year, nothing really stands out. But some team is going to assert itself and shock the world in Week one.
 

BACH

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Ehh, lost me on the Patriots. Did you write Patriots instead Panthers, or did you do your analysis based on the Patriots (sounds like it).
 

CFLredzoned

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I can see the Saints going for broke early going long first play. Try to catch the Cardinals sleeping.
 

Cheesebeef

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We play Carolina in week 2, not the Patriots. Yes, we should beat the Saints in the opener, but week 1 in the NFL is always bizarre. That’s a wild crowd & we need to jump out quick to silence their fans. The Saints were bad last year but scored 40+ points in their opener. Pretty sure they started last year 2-0. Even when they’re bad, they’re a tough out at home.
Man… are you already making the preemptive defense for if we lose this game? If this team has actually done what you believe it has during Monti’s era, there is NO EXCUSE to lose this game.
 

Totally_Red

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Losing to the Aints, I mean Saints, would be catastrophic IMO. No excuse including injuries would be acceptable.

The game should be won by at least 14 points. Even an 'ugly win' would leave me questioning the competence of the coaching staff and the veteran 'leadership'.
 

Garthshort

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Losing to the Aints, I mean Saints, would be catastrophic IMO. No excuse including injuries would be acceptable.

The game should be won by at least 14 points. Even an 'ugly win' would leave me questioning the competence of the coaching staff and the veteran 'leadership'.
Believe LV says that we should win by 6.5 pts. I guess you are building in some 'complain' points.
 

kerouac9

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Believe LV says that we should win by 6.5 pts. I guess you are building in some 'complain' points.
The Cards won 8 games last year. Two they won on the final play (LAC and MIA). The other six they won by:

31
1
20
25
13
23

Do you think the 2025 Saints will more resemble the 2024 Chargers or 2024 Bears?
 

PACardsFan

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Against Carolina, but I agree. Looking back at the Week 1 results from last year, nothing really stands out. But some team is going to assert itself and shock the world in Week one.
They also scored 45+ in week 2 in Dallas. After 2 weeks they were a highly regarded team. They then lost a close one to the Eagles & the season got ugly after that.
 

PACardsFan

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Man… are you already making the preemptive defense for if we lose this game? If this team has actually done what you believe it has during Monti’s era, there is NO EXCUSE to lose this game.
And when did I say the Cardinals would lose the opener? The correct answer is I didn’t. Only the haters like yourself would like to see that happen.
 

oaken1

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This game scares me.
I wanna say we win at around 45-13
but years of being a Cards fan has shown me that when you tempt fate, she kicks you in the teeth for it.

so, officially....I say we win, in an absolute high stress nailbiter...as the saints miss the game winning kick at the gun...

redbirds 10
Saints 8

after trailing the entire game...the saints get a TD in the fourth quarter,...then they go for two... they shut down our offense in a quick three and out,...mostly because The Petzing was being way too conservative and playing not to lose..
so Gilligan bombs a good punt but the aints get a return to mid field...they get a quick first down then stall...and run the clock down to 2 seconds for the final play...a kick from 47 yards....
rumor has it they cut their kicker before the postgame press conference.
 

Stout

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And when did I say the Cardinals would lose the opener? The correct answer is I didn’t. Only the haters like yourself would like to see that happen.
Don't question posters as fans is a core tenet of this board. That's banworthy stuff. Knock it off with the "If you don't love Kyler you aren't a Cards fan" nonsense. It's entertaining goofiness most of the time, until you make dumb statements like the above.
 

oaken1

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In the NFL, how often do we really see a 32 point spread?
since 2000 teams have won by 30 points or more 5.88% of the time out of 6448 games....give or take, since I had to do the math in my head.

Biggest victory was...
: 59 (October 18, 2009: Patriots 59 vs. Titans 0)

highest single score was...
70 (September 24, 2023: Dolphins 70 vs. Broncos 20)

and the highest scoring shootout was...
106 (November 28, 2004: Bengals 58 vs. Browns 48)

to verify, I got the stats from...

so,...while a 32 point spread is not common it is not unheard of either....
 

kerouac9

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so,...while a 32 point spread is not common it is not unheard of either....
I think it’s pretty unheard of in an NFL game. 10-point underdogs are pretty rare.

The initial line on that Pats-Titans game was 9.0.

If the Cards get to double digit favorites on the road, I’m hammering New Orleans.

Cards -6.5 is getting 72% of the action rn according to Bet MGM.
 

Zeem_Freeze

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I think it’s pretty unheard of in an NFL game. 10-point underdogs are pretty rare.

The initial line on that Pats-Titans game was 9.0.

If the Cards get to double digit favorites on the road, I’m hammering New Orleans.

Cards -6.5 is getting 72% of the action rn according to Bet MGM.
the line opened a few weeks ago at Cards -5.5 (I've got some exposure at 5.5 and some at 6)

Lots of money pouring in on Cards to cover the spread
 

oaken1

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