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When it comes to third-and-short or goal-line situations, San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan often goes for the simplest move in the playbook.
Shanahan ranks third in the NFL with a 30.1% quarterback sneak rate in one-yard situations among offensiveplay-callers since 2022, according to NFL analyst Ryan Paganetti. Over a span of 76 games that includes the playoffs, the 49ers faced 193 of these specific one-yard opportunities, calling a quarterback sneak 58 times. Shanahan trails only Joe Brady of the Buffalo Bills (51.9%) and Kellen Moore of the New Orleans Saints (31.0%) in utilizing the play.
The data presented by Paganetti strongly justifies Shanahan’s mathematical aggression. When a team opts for a quarterback sneak in these scenarios, the play yields an 81.8% success rate and a massive +0.45 Expected Points Added (EPA) per play, according to Paganetti. By comparison, all other play designs in those same situations result in a far lower 63.8% success rate and a minuscule +0.03 EPA per play.
49ers quarterback Brock Purdy, who has started for Shanahan since 2022, has rushed the ball 160 times for 627 yards and 11 touchdowns in his 49 career games. He turned 69 of those runs directly into first downs. He isn't a scrambling quarterback, but Shanahan knows when to use him on plays that matter.
This article originally appeared on Niners Wire: 49ers rely on this play call at high rate under Kyle Shanahan
Continue reading...
Shanahan ranks third in the NFL with a 30.1% quarterback sneak rate in one-yard situations among offensiveplay-callers since 2022, according to NFL analyst Ryan Paganetti. Over a span of 76 games that includes the playoffs, the 49ers faced 193 of these specific one-yard opportunities, calling a quarterback sneak 58 times. Shanahan trails only Joe Brady of the Buffalo Bills (51.9%) and Kellen Moore of the New Orleans Saints (31.0%) in utilizing the play.
The data presented by Paganetti strongly justifies Shanahan’s mathematical aggression. When a team opts for a quarterback sneak in these scenarios, the play yields an 81.8% success rate and a massive +0.45 Expected Points Added (EPA) per play, according to Paganetti. By comparison, all other play designs in those same situations result in a far lower 63.8% success rate and a minuscule +0.03 EPA per play.
49ers quarterback Brock Purdy, who has started for Shanahan since 2022, has rushed the ball 160 times for 627 yards and 11 touchdowns in his 49 career games. He turned 69 of those runs directly into first downs. He isn't a scrambling quarterback, but Shanahan knows when to use him on plays that matter.
This article originally appeared on Niners Wire: 49ers rely on this play call at high rate under Kyle Shanahan
Continue reading...
