The Market 2022

OP
OP
Folster

Folster

ASFN Icon
Joined
Jun 23, 2005
Posts
14,491
Reaction score
4,463
The situation wont be resolved just with increasing rates, so 0.75 or 1.00 won't change much
Is about world economy, need much better diplomacy actions to solve the war in Ukraine, using the warmonger tone didn't help
Gas price and oil must be reduced
Supply chain must go back to normality then inflation will reduce
The fed can't do much about those things

Yeah. They are really just trying to catch up to where the bond market is already at. The 2 year treasury, which is typically inline with the fed funds rate is at 3.216%. The fed funds rate is only at 1.75% even after today's 3/4 point increase.

This graph shows the relationship between the 2 year treasury and the fed funds rate and the gap in their current yields.

You must be registered for see images attach
 

Russ Smith

The Original Whizzinator
Supporting Member
Joined
May 14, 2002
Posts
74,147
Reaction score
19,304
Same happen last month, just after the fed increasing rates nasdaq went well in that day, the following days a disaster

yeah it's usually because a report is bad. I think the jobs report is tomorrow and it's possible it's going to be less new jobs or even less jobs because as discussed yesterday some companies are now doing layoffs. The thing is, we were at a point where the unemployment rate was so low it was almost working against us, slightly higher unemployment is actually good for inflation as it slows spending. Sucks for the people who lose their job of course but that's actually part of the whole raise the interest rates you slow spending, and you stop the economy from overheating. Then in theory as inflation drops, you can pick up the hiring again.

The reason I wanted 1 not .75 is I just think it's inevitable they're going to have to go up again so I'm for just ripping the bandaid off. Not the whole amount mind you but just do one big jump to start and then smaller incremental ones.

Not an expert but I think by now everyone gets rates should have been raised years ago and HAVE to go up.

and I have to admit I would like to be able to get out of my .2 CD pay the penalty and open up a new one that's like 1.8 to 2. Right now I think 1.5 is what Capital One has(where mine is) and I found Merrick Bank(?) has a 2.27 for 1 year. I did the math before the penalty for closing my .2CD early at Capital One and moving it to a new CD at 1.5 is basically a wash, I think it was 4 months of interest. If it's 1.8 or higher i make money by doing it.
 

juza76

ASFN Icon
Joined
Sep 5, 2009
Posts
12,376
Reaction score
7,054
Location
milan-italy
Not an expert but I think by now everyone gets rates should have been raised years ago and HAVE to go up
Hindsight with the pandemic, they should have foresee a inflation risk, they didn't do much, even in Europe, and we paying the price
But there as still more important factors right now, and our politicians must change their approach
The bce and fed cant do nothing about those aspects
The only thing i saw from our political istitutiions its about banning the sales of new gas powered cars in 2035 and claiming sanctions whenever they can
Wars still going without any serious attempt to find a diplomacy solutions, and we are experiencing now how much is important for us is to have economy interest with Russia (here in Europe) gas oil tourism manufacturers sales
But but we are so loyal that we prefer self inflicted wounds
Even the Pope stated yesterday something interesting
 

juza76

ASFN Icon
Joined
Sep 5, 2009
Posts
12,376
Reaction score
7,054
Location
milan-italy
Yes, I am banned for 3 days.
I guess you are the first banned with the new rule
But the odds of u being the first banned were highly probable, u like to play in the enemy territory there, where 20 users support each others against u
 
Last edited:
OP
OP
Folster

Folster

ASFN Icon
Joined
Jun 23, 2005
Posts
14,491
Reaction score
4,463
I guess you are the first banned with the new rule
But the odds of u being the first banned was highly probable, u like to play in the enemy territory there, where 20 users support each others against u

I appreciate the sentiment, but I would rather not drag it into this forum.
 

juza76

ASFN Icon
Joined
Sep 5, 2009
Posts
12,376
Reaction score
7,054
Location
milan-italy
We keep the drama in here. Just opinionated drama. No facts. Just opinions. The markets keep you humble in this way ...
Yes lot of pain, i never been so humbled, almost lost interests in anything else... hope to bounce back one day
 

BigRedRage

Reckless
Supporting Member
Joined
Mar 25, 2005
Posts
47,327
Reaction score
11,654
Location
SE valley
Yes long term
But also my portfolio is red with other three companies
Not advise, but what I am doing? Saving money and looking for when I'm comfortable trying to average down some stocks I have like nvda and google when the time is right.
 
Top