Good article on OTC re: positional value, the draft, FA, and roster construction.

[Chopper0080]

2026 Positional Draft Success vs Free Agent Availability | Over the Cap

2026 Positional Draft Success vs Free Agent Availability | Over the Cap

overthecap.com

 

[MartinD]

Interesting, absolutely. Thanks.

 

[oaken1]

2026 Positional Draft Success vs Free Agent Availability | Over the Cap

2026 Positional Draft Success vs Free Agent Availability | Over the Cap

overthecap.com

Except his data set is inherently biased by the mere history of teams drafting by positional value.

 

[kerouac9]

Except his data set is inherently biased by the mere history of teams drafting by positional value.

Is it? Because it would seem that the point of the exercise is whether positional value matters. He’s using contract size relative to position as the success metric. If positional value didn’t matter, you’d see more later-round picks get big second contracts.

 

[oaken1]

Is it? Because it would seem that the point of the exercise is whether positional value matters. He’s using contract size relative to position as the success metric. If positional value didn’t matter, you’d see more later-round picks get big second contracts.

seems to me he is pointing out hit rate on starters based on rounds drafted...