Fortune Smiled on Drew Stanton in 2014

kerouac9

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Cbus cardsfan

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So would Stanton's.

quote from article:
"nobody threw more passes that should have been intercepted than Andrew Luck"

The guy with highest adjusted rate was Luck. I'd be okay with him under center for the Cards.

His last name is not Luck for nothing, but I would not mind that lucky guy under center... the technical word for him I believe is great :)
 
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kerouac9

kerouac9

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So would Stanton's.

quote from article:
"nobody threw more passes that should have been intercepted than Andrew Luck"

The guy with highest adjusted rate was Luck. I'd be okay with him under center for the Cards.

Locker actually had the highest adjusted rate--maybe read the actual article, and not just the lede. Stanton's 5.4% was second-highest. Luck's 3.7% is a 12% higher than the league average 3.30%. Stanton's is almost 64% higher than the league average.

Right, but Stanton's small sample size actually works against him, while Luck's worked for him (Luck was 3rd in the NFL in passing attempts last year). Stanton's adjusted INT rate was nearly twice that of Andrew Luck's.

FO puts is much more eloquently than I have the time to:

Now remember this: Stanton only threw 241 passes (not including pass interference calls) last season, 31st in the NFL and less than half of Drew Brees' league-high 653. Think about how ridiculous it is that somebody with so few passing plays still finished so high in any counting stat, even in something obscure like dropped interceptions. Put it this way: in 241 passes, Stanton would have needed to average better than 20 yards per throw to finish second in passing yardage. To finish second in completions, he would have needed to connect on 172 percent of his throws, which would be impossible unless he started throwing two balls at once, and would even then still be very impressive. Coming into last season, Stanton had nine career interceptions in 187 passes, a rate of 4.8 percent that is much more indicative of his true passing abilities than his one-in-a-million 2014 campaign.
 
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Cbus cardsfan

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I agree with you. Luck is better than Stanton. I'm not a sabermetric guy. If Stanton was lucky according to one stat metric, then so be it.
 
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