Encouraging Kyler Murray Trends

[Adrian]

Mike Jurecki
@mikejurecki
·
5m

Per
@CardsMarkD
“On the 6 Cardinals scoring drives today Kyler Murray was 14-17 passing for 176 yards & 6-86 rushing with a 6- yard TD run.”

“In the 4th quarter he was 5-7 for 88 yards passing and added 35 rushing yards on 3 attempts.” #progress

 

[Ouchie-Z-Clown]

I'm not going to stress out too much about this. We pass so much that a rate stat like TD percentage doesn't have a lot of value. I think the more important thing to look at is points per drive. Cards are 23rd in that stat.

Cards are also 29th in 3 and outs per drive (more than a quarter of our drives end in 3 and outs; the NFL average is 1 in 5.

Is that trending or static?

 

[kerouac9]

Is that trending or static?

Its cumulative over the season.

 

[Ouchie-Z-Clown]

Its cumulative over the season.

I understood that. I was more curious if on a game-by-game basis it was consistent or if we saw a trend in a couple positive direction, or if it was more scattershot. With him being a rookie I’m looking for signs of improvement.

 

[kerouac9]

I understood that. I was more curious if on a game-by-game basis it was consistent or if we saw a trend in a couple positive direction, or if it was more scattershot. With him being a rookie I’m looking for signs of improvement.

I mean, that’s a hard one to trend because the sample size is small. Last week the Cards had 10 drives and 2 of them were 3 and out. We had 2.6 points per drive.

Against Seattle we had 2 3 and outs in 10 drives and one series where we had 1 play then a pick. We had 1.0 points per drive.

 

[Ouchie-Z-Clown]

I mean, that’s a hard one to trend because the sample size is small. Last week the Cards had 10 drives and 2 of them were 3 and out. We had 2.6 points per drive.

Against Seattle we had 2 3 and outs in 10 drives and one series where we had 1 play then a pick. We had 1.0 points per drive.

So it seems fairly consistent although likely weighted I’m guessing by a really awful first game. Would that be accurate?

I think it’s a somewhat difficult stat to look at this early in a season due to just what you point out, limited data. Just 2 more 3 and outs over five games has a big impact on percentages. Will be more yelling maybe once we are at midway of season.

 

[kerouac9]

So it seems fairly consistent although likely weighted I’m guessing by a really awful first game. Would that be accurate?

I think it’s a somewhat difficult stat to look at this early in a season due to just what you point out, limited data. Just 2 more 3 and outs over five games has a big impact on percentages. Will be more yelling maybe once we are at midway of season.

Meh.

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To me this points to a weakness in opponents. We've had a particularly bad game against Seattle, and a particularly good game against Cincy.

The Rolling three-game average gives you about 30 data points, which I hope can provide a better idea of trends.

 

[Krangodnzr]

Meh.

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To me this points to a weakness in opponents. We've had a particularly bad game against Seattle, and a particularly good game against Cincy.

The Rolling three-game average gives you about 30 data points, which I hope can provide a better idea of trends.

I'm encouraged by the low three and outs.

Looking at the bright side. I worry more about offenses with lots of 3 & outside. Having fewer three and outside tells me that execution or certain situations are the problem, but the overall scheme is sound.

The past two weeks have been alot more encouraging even considering Murray's poor play at times at Seattle.

 

[cardncubfan]

https://cardswire.usatoday.com/2019...ta-falcons-deion-jones-comments-kyler-murray/

 

[SoonerLou]

Total QBR (factoring toughness of defense) 56.2. 12th in the league

Raw QBR (just based soley on performance) 63.2 9th in the league
@Crimson Warrior

 

[SoonerLou]

Next Gen stats say that 5 yard run to end the game was the fastest he's ran all season. Cracked 20 MPH

 

[Crimson Warrior]

Total QBR (factoring toughness of defense) 56.2. 12th in the league

Raw QBR (just based soley on performance) 63.2 9th in the league
@Crimson Warrior

I'm so proud of him Sooner Lou.

I think Murray is energizing this offense.

They look like they're having fun out there.

 

[Adrian]

Mike Jurecki
@mikejurecki
·
28m

#AZCardinals after six games last year the offense scored 82 points, this year 134 points.

The Cardinals didn't get their third win until week 13, December, 2nd vs Packers.

 

[Cardsfaninlouky]

Mike Jurecki
@mikejurecki
·
28m

#AZCardinals after six games last year the offense scored 82 points, this year 134 points.

The Cardinals didn't get their third win until week 13, December, 2nd vs Packers.

The team we beat for 2 of our wins last yr, I would love to sweep this yr but I may as well $#\+ in one hand, wish in the other & see which one fills up first lol?

 

[BW52]

I'm so proud of him Sooner Lou.

I think Murray is energizing this offense.

They look like they're having fun out there.

When he energizes this offense to wins against some of the better defenses in the NFL that will be encouraging.Beating up on ******* teams is expected.

 

[carrrnuttt]

When he energizes this offense to wins against some of the better defenses in the NFL that will be encouraging.Beating up on ******* teams is expected.

JFC stop it already.

I don't care that you don't like him as that's your opinion, but please don't feel obliged to bring down every thread that mentions KM.

 

[Adrian]

Kyle Odegard
@Kyle_Odegard
·
25s

Kyler Murray is up to No. 12 in the NFL in ESPN's Total QBR, sandwiched between Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers.

 

[SoonerLou]

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[dscher]

JFC stop it already.

I don't care that you don't like him as that's your opinion, but please don't feel obliged to bring down every thread that mentions KM.

It's like the Geico commercials. It's what he does.

 

[Krangodnzr]

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I expected a bit more TDs, but I think that's going to change soon.

 

[kerouac9]

Here's the trends updated through the Atlanta game:

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I added an NFL average line for each category to show where we are relative to the rest of the league. Treads are going in the right direction.

 

[Ouchie-Z-Clown]

Here's the trends updated through the Atlanta game:

You must be registered for see images attach

I added an NFL average line for each category to show where we are relative to the rest of the league. Treads are going in the right direction.

Thx k9. I think these are interesting stats. And I like the fact you included the NFL averages as benchmarks. Gives it good context.

 

[SoonerLou]

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[Crimson Warrior]

Thanks for the homework K9, appreciate it sir. We can probably expect the offense's nice run to continue for another week.

But then we play possibly the best defense in the league (New Orleans). So the witching hour draws nigh for Kyler Murray and the Miracles.

 

[TaylorSwift]

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And he is averaging 7 ya, less than the others, The next closest is Rodgers is it at 7.3.