College Baseball Tournament Projections: May 13th. Oregon State, San Diego State, Gonzaga appear to be in good shape.

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Mountain West (and beyond) NCAA baseball tournament projections will be new every week leading up to the College World Series. This seems like the natural step to continue our baseball coverage, and mirrors the bowl projections and bracketology we do with our football and basketball coverage, respectively.

For those who aren’t familiar, 64 teams make the “Road to Omaha”, which is the nickname for the NCAA Baseball Tournament that starts around the end of May. It starts with the regional rounds, with four teams in each of the sixteen regions. They play a double-elimination mini-tournament to advance to the next round. The next round is the super regionals, where the sixteen teams play a best-of-three series, with eight advancing to the College World Series in Omaha. Those teams are once again put into a double-elimination bracket to determine a champion.

The 64 teams are chosen similarly to the NCAA Basketball Tournament. Each conference tournament champion automatically qualifies, accounting for 29 bids, leaving room for 35 at-large bids. It appears there was a change in how the 64 teams are seeded, with a committee ranking the top 32 teams. Numbers 1-16 all get 1-seeds, 17-32 get 2-seeds, but two teams from the same conference can’t be in the same region.

This post will discuss current and future Mountain West and PAC-12 teams.

Baseball America​

Here is Baseball America’s Road to Omada update from May 12th.

This projection features four teams that are under our blanket of coverage.

San Diego State is the four-seed in the Los Angeles Region, facing UCLA. Texas State is back in the fold as the #3 seed in Athens. Then, in Corvallis, Oregon State is the top seed (14th overall), with Gonzaga coming in as the third seed in that region.

College Sports Madness ​

CSM’s latest projections are from April 2nd, so no new updates once again this week. It’s unfortunate as we are rounding third as far as the baseball goes, but oh well.

D1 Baseball​

D1 Baseball has a projection from yesterday on the 12th.

Once again, San Diego State is listed as the fourth team in the Los Angeles Region with #1 overall seed UCLA. Texas State is one of the Last Four In and will be in Austin in this projection. Gonzaga is the third-seed in Eugene instead of Corvallis, where the Beavers reside as the 14th overall team.

On3 Field of 64​

This round of projections went live on Monday, with Jonathan Wagner updating his thoughts on a weekly basis.

Following the trends, On3 lists San Diego State in Los Angeles with UCLA. Oregon State is a two-seed, going to Lincoln, as this publication continues to be down on them. Texas State is also in Austin on this site, and is also grouped in the Last Four In. Then, in LA Region Part 2, Gonzaga checks in as a three-seed.


Entering the home stretch, it seems like San Diego State, Gonzaga, and Oregon State are in the best shape among the teams we are covering, with Texas State sitting in pretty good shape.

If anyone knows any other projection sites, feel free to share.

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