Chargers' win probability for every game on 2025 schedule

[ASFN Admin]

The Chargers will have their work cut out for them, as more than half of their schedule will consist of teams that made the playoffs last season. We are predicting that they will finish with a 10-7 record. How do the analytics believe 2025 will play out for the Bolts?

ESPN’s Mike Clay shared win probability projections for every game on the Chargers' schedule, and they have a 50% chance or better in nine games.

Take a look at their win probability for each game below.

• Week 1 vs Kansas City Chiefs: 40%
• Week 2 at Las Vegas Raiders: 60%
• Week 3 vs Denver Broncos: 49%
• Week 4 at New York Giants: 55%
• Week 5 vs Washington Commanders: 51%
• Week 6 at Miami Dolphins: 47%
• Week 7 vs Indianapolis Colts: 58%
• Week 8 vs Minnesota Vikings: 49%
• Week 9 at Tennessee Titans: 62%
• Week 10 vs Pittsburgh Steelers: 55%
• Week 11 at Jacksonville Jaguars: 58%
• Week 12: Bye
• Week 13 vs Las Vegas Raiders: 68%
• Week 14 vs Philadelphia Eagles: 39%
• Week 15 at Kansas City Chiefs: 36%
• Week 16 at Dallas Cowboys: 48%
• Week 17 vs Houston Texans: 48%
• Week 18 at Denver Broncos: 41%
• Projected wins: 8.6

This article originally appeared on Chargers Wire: Chargers schedule: Win probability for every game in 2025 season

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