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The Los Angeles Rams are going to be tested from start to finish in 2026, playing one of the most difficult schedules in the NFL. They’re facing each of the last six Super Bowl champions at least once, as well as playoff teams such as the Buffalo Bills, Denver Broncos and Green Bay Packers.
Even still, the Rams have the highest projected win total in the NFL, according to ESPN. Analyst Mike Clay projects the Rams to win 13.2 games in his 2026 forecast, while also assigning win probabilities to each contest on the upcoming schedule.
Despite their remarkably tough schedule, the Rams still have a win probability of better than 50% in each of their 17 games. Their lowest win probability is in Week 16 on the road against the Seahawks, where they still have a 57% chance to win, according to Clay.
Below is the Rams' win probability for each game, as well as the projected score in parentheses.
Clay isn't projecting the Rams to win every game on their schedule, but he does like their chances each week. Their easiest games are against the Cardinals, Raiders and Commanders right in the middle of the season, but after that, things get tough again.
From Week 14 on, they don't have a win probability above 78% in any game.
Come playoff time, assuming they make it, the Rams are going to be as battle-tested as any team in the NFL.
This article originally appeared on Rams Wire: LA Rams schedule: Win probability for every game in 2026
Continue reading...
Even still, the Rams have the highest projected win total in the NFL, according to ESPN. Analyst Mike Clay projects the Rams to win 13.2 games in his 2026 forecast, while also assigning win probabilities to each contest on the upcoming schedule.
Despite their remarkably tough schedule, the Rams still have a win probability of better than 50% in each of their 17 games. Their lowest win probability is in Week 16 on the road against the Seahawks, where they still have a 57% chance to win, according to Clay.
Below is the Rams' win probability for each game, as well as the projected score in parentheses.
- Week 1 vs. 49ers: 76% (29.2-21.7)
- Week 2 vs. Giants: 90% (31.0-17.7)
- Week 3 at Broncos: 61% (24.5-21.3)
- Week 4 at Eagles: 62% (25.2-21.8)
- Week 5 vs. Bills: 79% (32.5-23.8)
- Week 6 vs. Cardinals: 96% (33.2-14.3)
- Week 7 at Raiders: 90% (29.6-16.5)
- Week 8 vs. Chargers: 81% (29.5-20.3)
- Week 9 at Commanders: 84% (31.1-20.5)
- Week 10 at Cardinals: 93% (31.1-16.4)
- Week 11: Bye
- Week 12 vs. Packers: 83% (29.5-19.6)
- Week 13 vs. Chiefs: 80% (28.8-19.8)
- Week 14 at 49ers: 69% (28.2-22.8)
- Week 15 vs. Cowboys: 78% (31.0-22.7)
- Week 16 at Seahawks: 57% (24.5-22.5)
- Week 17 at Buccaneers: 74% (27.4-20.4)
- Week 18 vs. Seahawks: 71% (26.5-20.4)
Clay isn't projecting the Rams to win every game on their schedule, but he does like their chances each week. Their easiest games are against the Cardinals, Raiders and Commanders right in the middle of the season, but after that, things get tough again.
From Week 14 on, they don't have a win probability above 78% in any game.
Come playoff time, assuming they make it, the Rams are going to be as battle-tested as any team in the NFL.
This article originally appeared on Rams Wire: LA Rams schedule: Win probability for every game in 2026
Continue reading...
