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After signing former 49ers wideout Jauan Jennings to a one-year deal, the Vikings have their most impressive WR corps in more than 20 years. The market hasn’t lowered Justin Jefferson’s fantasy value, but it should.
While some might say Jennings will hurt Addison’s value the most, I’m not so sure. Jefferson is already as risky as ever, as managers witnessed his descent last year due to bottom-tier quarterback play. While Kyler Murray might stabilize this passing game, he’s not guaranteed to win his camp battle over J.J. McCarthy, and neither is a great bet to significantly elevate this offense.
Jefferson’s past fantasy dominance resulted from a three-part formula: extraordinary talent, solid-to-great quarterbacking, and a streamlined aerial attack. The first part is still assured; the second part is a major question; and, with Jennings now on board, the third part creates a precarious situation for the elite upside of Jefferson, whose current average draft position (ADP) is WR5.
Compare that to Addison’s WR41 ADP and Jennings’ WR61, and it’s easier to see where bargain and bust potentials are more apparent. If Minnesota’s quarterbacking doesn’t return to 2024 levels (or better), then Jefferson’s upside will be more capped as ever, with Addison or Jennings delivering better-than-expected results. The market simply is overweighting Jefferson. For now, that makes Jennings the best bargain in the group.
This article originally appeared on Touchdown Wire: Justin Jefferson is overvalued in fantasy after Jauan Jennings signing
Continue reading...
While some might say Jennings will hurt Addison’s value the most, I’m not so sure. Jefferson is already as risky as ever, as managers witnessed his descent last year due to bottom-tier quarterback play. While Kyler Murray might stabilize this passing game, he’s not guaranteed to win his camp battle over J.J. McCarthy, and neither is a great bet to significantly elevate this offense.
Jefferson’s past fantasy dominance resulted from a three-part formula: extraordinary talent, solid-to-great quarterbacking, and a streamlined aerial attack. The first part is still assured; the second part is a major question; and, with Jennings now on board, the third part creates a precarious situation for the elite upside of Jefferson, whose current average draft position (ADP) is WR5.
Compare that to Addison’s WR41 ADP and Jennings’ WR61, and it’s easier to see where bargain and bust potentials are more apparent. If Minnesota’s quarterbacking doesn’t return to 2024 levels (or better), then Jefferson’s upside will be more capped as ever, with Addison or Jennings delivering better-than-expected results. The market simply is overweighting Jefferson. For now, that makes Jennings the best bargain in the group.
This article originally appeared on Touchdown Wire: Justin Jefferson is overvalued in fantasy after Jauan Jennings signing
Continue reading...
