Every SEC football team’s chances to win 2026 league title

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SEC media days, an unofficial kickoff for the 2026 football season, are being held Monday through Thursday at JW Marriott and Tampa Marriott Water Street in Tampa, Florida.

The 2026 SEC campaign will be the third with 16 members after Oklahoma and Texas joined in 2024.

The 2026 SEC championship game will be contested on Dec. 5 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. Without divisions for a third consecutive year, the top two teams in the SEC regular-season standings will play in the league title game.

On June 30, ahead of SEC media days and the upcoming campaign, ESPN’s College Football Power Index was released for the 2026 season.

ESPN FPI projects Texas (29.7%) as the team with the best chance to win the SEC championship this season, followed by Georgia (22.9%).

Tennessee has a 3.3% chance to win a league title. The Vols are also projected to have a 7.3-4.7 record, according to ESPN FPI.

Below are every SEC team’s chances of winning a league championship in 2026.

More: 2026 SEC football projected win-loss records

Every SEC football team’s chances to win 2026 league title​

SchoolChance to win SEC
Texas Longhorns29.7%
Georgia Bulldogs22.9%
Alabama Crimson Tide10.4%
LSU Tigers8.9%
Texas A&M Aggies8.4%
Oklahoma Sooners5.3%
Ole Miss Rebels3.8%
Tennessee Volunteers3.3%
Florida Gators2.0%
Missouri Tigers1.6%
Auburn Tigers1.4%
South Carolina Gamecocks1.3%
Vanderbilt Commodores0.7%
Kentucky Wildcats0.2%
Arkansas Razorbacks0.1%
Mississippi State Bulldogs0.1%

More: Tennessee 'extremely hungry' entering 2026 football season


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This article originally appeared on Vols Wire: Every SEC football team’s chances to win 2026 league title

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