World Cup Prediction Market Apps: Make Trades with Polymarket, Kalshi, More

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World Cup Prediction Market Apps: Make Trades with Polymarket, Kalshi, More originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

Use multiple World Cup prediction market apps to make trades throughout the tournament. On Thursday, I'm looking at two games to get us started, including Mexico hosting South Africa and the Korea Republic taking on Czechia.


We look at five different prediction apps for the World Cup. You can sign up on each and score over $300 worth of bonuses. Start trading today and prepare for Team USA's first appearance on Friday.

World Cup Prediction Market Apps and Welcome Bonuses​

World Cup Prediction Market AppsWelcome Offers
PolymarketDeposit $20, Get $50 Bonus
KalshiTrade $10, Get $10 Bonus
NovigPlay $5, Get $50 in Novig Coins
OG.comEarn $100 Bonus
ProphetX20% Purchase Match Up to $100

Details of the Polymarket Promo Code​


This exclusive welcome offer is solely for new Polymarket customers looking to get in on the FIFA World Cup action. To trigger the reward, simply complete your registration here and make a qualifying initial deposit of at least $20. Once your account is funded, your $50 sign-up bonus will be unlocked and ready to use. Keep in mind that to participate, users must be 18+ and physically located within an eligible Polymarket state.


What I love about this promotion is its versatility. You can use house money to spread your risk across the board. Your $50 bonus can be applied to any of the multiple World Cup games on the schedule, giving you total flexibility across the day's slate.


Whether you want to put your bonus funds toward the highly anticipated clash between Mexico and South Africa, predict the outcome of Korea Republic taking on Czechia, or spread your predictions across several matches throughout the opening round, the choice is entirely yours.

Explore More World Cup Prediction Market Apps​


If you want to maximize your strategy and chase those bigger payouts, you shouldn't stop at just one platform. In addition to Polymarket, there are more World Cup prediction market apps out there offering incredible value for new users. In addition to the two games on Thursday, try using these apps to predict outcomes in other games during the World Cup:

  • Kalshi: Get a $10 bonus here by making $10 in trades on Kalshi.
  • ProphetX: Claim a 20% purchase match up to $100 here on ProphetX.
  • OG.com: Earn a $100 bonus on OG.com here.
  • Novig: Play $5 here, get a $50 bonus on Novig.

By stacking these bonuses, we can build a highly sophisticated, diversified portfolio for the entire tournament. Good luck, and let's go find those winning angles!

Use Bonuses for the First Round​


Let's get down to the handicapping. In soccer, we're looking at 3-way markets, meaning you have to account for the tie. Once you have secured your welcome bonus, you can immediately begin predicting the outcomes for the opening slate. The table below outlines the 3-way win probabilities for every matchup happening in the first round of the tournament, giving you the flexibility to back the home team, predict a draw, or pick the away team.

MatchupHome (First Team) Win %Draw %Away (Second Team) Win %
Mexico vs South Africa67.1%21.4%11.6%
Korea Republic vs Czechia36.7%30.1%33.2%
Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina52.7%26.3%21.0%
USA vs Paraguay47.6%28.1%24.3%
Qatar vs Switzerland7.2%14.7%78.1%
Brazil vs Morocco58.0%24.8%17.2%
Haiti vs Scotland15.6%22.0%62.5%
Australia vs Turkiye18.9%25.4%55.7%
Germany vs Curacao93.6%4.5%1.9%
Netherlands vs Japan47.4%26.4%26.2%
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador26.1%32.4%41.5%
Sweden vs Tunisia49.2%28.0%22.8%
Spain vs Cape Verde87.2%9.1%3.7%
Belgium vs Egypt57.3%24.2%18.5%
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay12.2%21.0%66.8%
IR Iran vs New Zealand49.7%27.8%22.4%
France vs Senegal64.7%21.3%14.0%
Iraq vs Norway7.1%14.3%78.6%
Argentina vs Algeria67.9%20.4%11.7%
Austria vs Jordan72.1%17.3%10.6%
Portugal vs Congo DR74.2%16.8%9.0%
England vs Croatia54.7%25.5%19.7%
Ghana vs Panama46.8%27.4%25.8%
Uzbekistan vs Colombia12.4%20.7%66.9%

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