Will Texas basketball make NCAA Tournament? ESPN makes prediction

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Will Texas make the NCAA Tournament? Two weeks ago it seemed like a lock. But now? The Longhorns have lost five of their last six games and were lackluster in a first round crash out to Ole Miss in the SEC Tournament. ESPN's Joe Lunardi says yes, barely.

Lunardi has Texas as a No. 11 seed and headed to Portland to play No. 6 seed Wisconsin in the San Jose West Region. He puts Texas in red as a team that moved down in the past 24 hours. Typically, the "last four teams" into the bracket are No. 11 seeds. UT better hope there isn't a huge upset by a team around them on the bubble.


Joe Lunardi’s latest update has Texas headed back to the UD Arena for a second straight season, playing in the First Four. https://t.co/G9vXlJRBfz

— Eric C. Henry (@EricCHenry_) March 12, 2026

The Horns have been on the right side of the bubble for over a month after UT got hot in late January and early February. In fact, the Longhorns were considered an 88.3% favorite to make March Madness. But the selection committee won't like that Texas is fading and fading fast at the end of the season.

That's not type of resume that gets you an at-large bid into the Big Dance. Not making the Big Dance in Sean Miller's first year would be seen as a real disappointment.

This article originally appeared on Longhorns Wire: What does ESPN say about Texas basketball's NCAA Tournament chances?

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