TNF Same Game Parlay: Bengals @ Ravens

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There’s no better way to enjoy a primetime matchup than by building a same-game parlay. The problem? Most SGPs are longshots designed to drain your bankroll. Those flashy +1,000,000 tickets look fun, but they almost never cash. The books want you to bet on those! At FTN, we take a different approach to SGPs.

Using our Same-Game Parlay Tool, powered by 10,000 simulations for every matchup, we identify spots where the odds are actually mispriced. That means you’re not just throwing darts, but you’re building parlays with real edges, even when the payouts are big.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Same-Game Parlay​


Joe Burrow returns for this prime time Thanksgiving matchup, but Cincinnati’s defense remains a major problem as they sit dead last in defensive DVOA. That is exactly the kind of opponent that can get Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense back in rhythm after a shaky performance last week. Baltimore has won five straight but still hasn’t found consistent flow, while Burrow is making his first start since Week 2 and may need time to settle in. With the Ravens holding the Jets to just 241 yards and the Bengals struggling on both sides of the ball, this matchup sets up a clear script for a same game parlay built around Lamar on the ground and Cincinnati’s passing attack being limited.

This one is a three-leg parlay that pays out at +320 on BetMGM.

Leg 1: Lamar Jackson Over 24.5 Rushing Yards​


Lamar has not been running as often lately, but he consistently turns it on when he faces the Bengals. He has topped 30 rushing yards in eight straight games against Cincinnati, something he has not failed to do since Week 6 of 2020. He also showed a bit more willingness to run last week with seven carries. With Joe Burrow returning for Cincinnati, the Ravens will need to keep up offensively, which should result in more designed runs and more scrambling from Lamar.

Leg 2: Joe Burrow Under 257.5 Passing Yards​


While it is great to have Joe Burrow back in the lineup, this is a difficult matchup for him. Baltimore has been a top-10 pass defense per DVOA throughout their winning streak, and Burrow may need some time to regain full rhythm after returning. With Tee Higgins out, he also will not have his usual collection of weapons, which makes it even harder for him to reach a high passing total.

Leg 3: Mike Gesicki Under 37.5 Receiving Yards​


The Bengals rotate four different tight ends, which limits the opportunity for any one of them to post a big receiving day. Gesicki has not cleared this number in a single game this season, and his route participation rate sits below 50% in the games he has played. The volume simply is not there, making the under the more reliable side.

FTN’s NFL Betting Resources​


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