KenPom predicts winner of Auburn vs South Alabama in NIT first round

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After missing out on an NCAA Tournament bid for the first time in five years, Auburn basketball gets another shot at life this season when it hosts South Alabama for the first round of the NIT on Tuesday at Neville Arena.

How do the Tigers stack up against the Jaguars on Tuesday? Early odds lean heavily toward Auburn, and analytics back the claim. KenPom gives Auburn a 95% chance to handle business and beat South Alabama on Tuesday, with an implied score of 83-65.

Auburn has an advantage over South Alabama in several categories, with the most glaring being offensive efficiency. Auburn ranks No. 15 nationally in offensive efficiency according to KenPom analytics, averaging 124.8 points per 100 possessions, which is miles ahead of South Alabama's 107.0 rating, which ranks No. 212 nationally. Another factor is offensive rebounds, a stat that Auburn leads by grabbing 38% of its offensive boards, compared to South Alabama's 25.2. Auburn also shoots 44.7% from the field while South Alabama connects on 39.2%.

Auburn basketball finished on the low end of the SEC standings this season with a 17-16 record and a 7-11 SEC mark. The Tigers own the No. 4 strength of schedule according to KenPom, and were 4-13 against Quad 1 teams. South Alabama is a Quad 4 opportunity for Auburn, a category that Auburn is 6-0 against this season

South Alabama just missed an NCAA Tournament bid by finishing second in the Sun Belt Conference standings and exiting the Sun Belt Tournament with a loss to Georgia Southern. Tuesday's game at Auburn will be South Alabama's first Quad 1 opportunity.

Auburn and South Alabama battle in the first round of the NIT on Tuesday at 9 p.m. CT in Neville Arena in Auburn, Alabama. ESPN 2 will broadcast the game live.

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This article originally appeared on Auburn Wire: Auburn basketball vs South Alabama: KenPom's NIT prediction

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