I think Bam Adebayo ranked as the 102nd-most likely active player to score 83 points in an NBA game

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I think Bam Adebayo ranked as the 102nd-most likely active player to score 83 points in an NBA game originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

There are over 100 players statistically more likely than Bam Adebayo to score 83 points... sort of. I'll explain why shortly and list all of them.

In a performance absolutely nobody saw coming, Bam Adebayo scored 83 points, the second-most in NBA history. Count me as someone not locked in to Heat-Wizards on a random Tuesday in March until my group chat lit up with a slightly more colorful version of "oh my, Bam has 62 at the end of the 3rd quarter!"

Adebayo, who entered Tuesday averaging 18.9 points and 4.8 free throws per game, passed Bryant on the single-game list thanks mostly to a yawn-inducing 36-43 display from the charity stripe. Not a typo. 36 made free throws. 43 free throw attempts. Both setting all-time single-game records.

MORE:Comparing Bam's 83 to Kobe's 81 | Inside Bam Adebayo's insane box score

In no particular order, here were the thoughts dancing in my head:

"Is this a good thing? How does it change how we view Kobe's 81?"

"43 free throws? Gross."

"If it happens against the Wizards, does it even count?"

"If you asked me to pick players most likely to match or surpass Kobe, how many would I name before getting to Bam Adebayo?"


It's this last one that I think is most interesting. Off the top of my head, I would probably land around 60-ish.

Then I started digging and before long realized its much lower.

To be fair, I forgot Adebayo even had a 40-point game. When looking up his previous career high, I had no recollection of his 41-point game against the KD-Kyrie-Harden Nets in 2021.

For a variety of reasons (the boon of offensive talent, rule changes, increased pace, heavier premium on 3s, etc.) it's perhaps never been easier to score than right now. And so naturally, I wondered how many active players have scored at least 42.

Now if I were to actually draft players I think are more likely than Bam to score 80, I wouldn't just limit it to players with superior career highs. The league is flush with young scorers who have never touched 40, players like Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Shaedon Sharpe and Dylan Harper, among many others, who on the right night with the perfect set of circumstances — injured teammates, weary opponent, low stakes — you could imagine having an out-of-body scorched Earth experience.

Another day, perhaps I'll sit down and actually think through who all I would pick before Adebayo. But for now, I instead offer up something a little more concrete.

Courtesy of Stathead, the 101 active players who have scored at least 42 points in an NBA game, one more than Adebayo's previous career high. By this rudimentary measure, yet one based in reality of what has actually happened on an NBA floor, Adebayo was the 102nd-most likely active player to pull off that historic scoring feat.

That's my story and I'm sticking to it, for now.

RkPlayerFromToCount
1James Harden2012-132025-2677
2LeBron James2004-052024-2568
3Stephen Curry2009-102025-2657
4Kevin Durant2007-082024-2553
5Luka Dončić2019-202025-2644
6Giannis Antetokounmpo2017-182024-2543
7Russell Westbrook2010-112020-2139
8Damian Lillard2014-152024-2537
9Joel Embiid2017-182023-2432
10Devin Booker2016-172024-2531
11Anthony Davis2014-152024-2529
12Donovan Mitchell2018-192025-2629
13Kyrie Irving2013-142024-2526
14Trae Young2018-192024-2525
15Nikola Jokić2018-192025-2622
16Bradley Beal2016-172023-2421
17Anthony Edwards2020-212025-2621
18Jayson Tatum2020-212024-2519
19Jalen Brunson2022-232025-2619
20Shai Gilgeous-Alexander2020-212025-2619
RkPlayerFromToCount
21Paul George2013-142022-2317
22DeMar DeRozan2014-152024-2515
23Zach LaVine2018-192025-2615
24Jamal Murray2018-192025-2613
25Tyrese Maxey2022-232025-2612
26Klay Thompson2014-152022-2311
27CJ McCollum2016-172025-2610
28De'Aaron Fox2020-212024-2510
29Ja Morant2020-212024-259
30Jimmy Butler2015-162022-239
31Karl-Anthony Towns2016-172024-259
32Kawhi Leonard2016-172025-269
33Kevin Love2010-112013-148
34Jaylen Brown2020-212025-268
35Julius Randle2018-192022-238
36Mikal Bridges2022-232023-246
37Cam Thomas2022-232024-256
38Khris Middleton2017-182023-244
39Pascal Siakam2018-192022-234
40Paolo Banchero2023-242024-254
RkPlayerFromToCount
41Jordan Poole2022-232024-254
42Cade Cunningham2023-242025-264
43Lauri Markkanen2022-232025-264
44Caris LeVert2019-202021-223
45D'Angelo Russell2018-192023-243
46Terry Rozier2020-212023-243
47Gary Trent Jr.2020-212021-223
48Nikola Vučević2020-212022-233
49Jalen Green2022-232024-253
50P.J. Washington2020-212023-243
51Jerami Grant2020-212023-243
52Tyrese Haliburton2022-232023-243
53Jaren Jackson Jr.2019-202024-253
54Victor Wembanyama2024-252024-253
55Austin Reaves2024-252025-263
56Andrew Wiggins2016-172024-252
57Victor Oladipo2015-162017-182
58Brandon Ingram2019-202022-232
59Norman Powell2020-212022-232
60Fred VanVleet2020-212023-242
RkPlayerFromToCount
61RJ Barrett2021-222022-232
62Saddiq Bey2021-222025-262
63Jordan Clarkson2018-192021-222
64Darius Garland2022-232022-232
65Anfernee Simons2021-222022-232
66Desmond Bane2023-242024-252
67LaMelo Ball2024-252024-252
68Miles Bridges2023-242024-252
69Quentin Grimes2024-252024-252
70Payton Pritchard2024-252025-262
71Cooper Flagg2025-262025-262
72Trey Murphy III2025-262025-262
73Jeff Green2012-132012-131
74Kyle Lowry2015-162015-161
75Eric Gordon2019-202019-201
76Buddy Hield2019-202019-201
77Luguentz Dort2020-212020-211
78Tim Hardaway Jr.2020-212020-211
79Kevin Porter Jr.2020-212020-211
80Collin Sexton2020-212020-211
RkPlayerFromToCount
81Ben Simmons2020-212020-211
82Josh Hart2021-222021-221
83Domantas Sabonis2021-222021-221
84Obi Toppin2021-222021-221
85Jrue Holiday2022-232022-231
86Malik Monk2022-232022-231
87Kristaps Porziņģis2022-232022-231
88Zion Williamson2022-232022-231
89Deni Avdija2023-242023-241
90Malachi Flynn2023-242023-241
91GG Jackson II2023-242023-241
92Dejounte Murray2023-242023-241
93Keegan Murray2023-242023-241
94Alperen Şengün2023-242023-241
95Pat Connaughton2024-252024-251
96Coby White2024-252024-251
97Grayson Allen2025-262025-261
98Keyonte George2025-262025-261
99Aaron Gordon2025-262025-261
100Jalen Johnson2025-262025-261
101Brice Sensabaugh2025-262025-261

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