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If the season started today, one Falcons player would be their biggest fantasy bargain, another a likely bust, and a third a likely wild card.
Atlanta has one of fantasy’s more top-heavy rosters. RB Bijan Robinson can’t reasonably be considered a bargain or a bust. Neither can Drake London. Both will have ADPs that mirror the midpoint between their realistic floors and ceilings.
So we need to dig deeper to find guys who will be “wrongly” priced. Atlanta's trade for Tua Tagovailoa creates a fascinating buying opportunity, assuming he's named the Week 1 starter. Presumably, Tagovailoa's preseason ADP will hover in the QB22-26 range. However, if he somehow flops in camp, Michael Penix would be the team's biggest bargain. In roughly eight-and-a-half games last year -- half of a season -- Penix threw for 1,982 yards and posted only three interceptions.
Why was he only the QB30 in points per game? Largely because he averaged only one TD pass per outing. If he pushes past Tagovailoa in camp, there’s too much upside compared to what the market would anticipate.
Kyle Pitts is headed toward bust status. 21% of his 2025 production came in Week 15 . . . when London was sidelined. That’s been a steady trend throughout Pitts’ career: he steps up when he’s the alpha receiver, and frequently underwhelms when the #1 WR is healthy. He was last year’s overall TE2. His ADP will probably be in the TE4-6 range. It’s still too bullish for an inconsistent fantasy tight end.
The wild card will be whichever receiver the Falcons install as their #2 WR. The only Atlanta wide receiver with more than 191 yards last year was Darnell Mooney, who’s been "replaced" by Jahan Dotson or Olamide Zaccheaus. If one of them takes the #2 job, his WR ADP still might be outside the top 80 -- clearly undraftable, and yet also a half-decent bet to surprise with 40+ catches for 500+ yards.
This article originally appeared on Touchdown Wire: 2026 Falcons fantasy preview: Biggest bargain, bust, and wild card
Continue reading...
Atlanta has one of fantasy’s more top-heavy rosters. RB Bijan Robinson can’t reasonably be considered a bargain or a bust. Neither can Drake London. Both will have ADPs that mirror the midpoint between their realistic floors and ceilings.
So we need to dig deeper to find guys who will be “wrongly” priced. Atlanta's trade for Tua Tagovailoa creates a fascinating buying opportunity, assuming he's named the Week 1 starter. Presumably, Tagovailoa's preseason ADP will hover in the QB22-26 range. However, if he somehow flops in camp, Michael Penix would be the team's biggest bargain. In roughly eight-and-a-half games last year -- half of a season -- Penix threw for 1,982 yards and posted only three interceptions.
Why was he only the QB30 in points per game? Largely because he averaged only one TD pass per outing. If he pushes past Tagovailoa in camp, there’s too much upside compared to what the market would anticipate.
Kyle Pitts is headed toward bust status. 21% of his 2025 production came in Week 15 . . . when London was sidelined. That’s been a steady trend throughout Pitts’ career: he steps up when he’s the alpha receiver, and frequently underwhelms when the #1 WR is healthy. He was last year’s overall TE2. His ADP will probably be in the TE4-6 range. It’s still too bullish for an inconsistent fantasy tight end.
The wild card will be whichever receiver the Falcons install as their #2 WR. The only Atlanta wide receiver with more than 191 yards last year was Darnell Mooney, who’s been "replaced" by Jahan Dotson or Olamide Zaccheaus. If one of them takes the #2 job, his WR ADP still might be outside the top 80 -- clearly undraftable, and yet also a half-decent bet to surprise with 40+ catches for 500+ yards.
This article originally appeared on Touchdown Wire: 2026 Falcons fantasy preview: Biggest bargain, bust, and wild card
Continue reading...
