Tampa Bay Rays Starter Shane Baz Struggles with Control

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It has been a roller-coaster of a season for Tampa Bay Rays starter Shane Baz. Once a top prospect, the righty came out of the gates hot, carrying a 1.42 ERA across his first three starts. His next three have not gone as well, pitching to a 6.75 ERA in that stretch.

That includes his most recent start, a day game, and the series finale against the Kansas City Royals. The young righty pitched 5.2 innings, allowing seven runs, all earned, on nine hits and three walks while striking out only one. It saw his ERA for the year climb to 3.86.

The #Royals tag Shane Baz for 7 earned runs today.

He’d given up 8 earned runs in his previous 5 starts.

— Jack Johnson (@JohnyJ_15) May 1, 2025

Now in his fourth season of Major League experience, the oft-injured righty is not known to lose control of his offerings as he did in his most recent outing. Even with the three walks, he carries a career BB/9 of 2.97, and it sat at 2.8 entering Thursday.

Control is what ailed him in his April 19 start against the New York Yankees, as well. In that outing, Baz was only able to get through 3.1 innings, yet he allowed five runs, all earned, on four hits and four walks. If you remove the seven walks between those two outings in nine innings, he has only otherwise walked five batters in 26 innings.

Outside of those two starts, Baz has been an American League Cy Young caliber pitcher. His ERA in his four good outings sits at 1.04 with 33 strikeouts. In the two blowups alone, his ERA is 12.00.

The stuff is still there for Baz. He has multiple outings this year with double-digit strikeouts. Sometimes pitchers lose their command, and for some pitchers, it is much more detrimental to their success than for others.

Shane Baz, K'ing the Side in the 5th.

10Ks thru 5. pic.twitter.com/opuv9A8XrA

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 15, 2025

It is far too early to give up on Shane Baz. While his performances are volatile, the high ceiling is there and reachable should he stay healthy. The floor just may be much lower than anyone originally thought it would be for the righty.

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