Rays vs. Blue Jays prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for July 22

[ASFN Admin]

The first-place Tampa Bay Rays (58-42) will look to make it three straight this week against the struggling Toronto Blue Jays (46-55) tonight at Rogers Centre. Tampa Bay has dominated the first two games of this series, outscoring Toronto 19-3. With the Yankees rained out yesterday, the Rays’ lead in the AL East is now two games. Meanwhile, the Jays are firmly entrenched in the AL East cellar, 12.5 games behind Tampa Bay.



Last night was all Tampa Bay beginning with a three-run first. The Rays pounded out a 12-2 victory, following up Monday's 7-1 win with another offensive explosion. Yandy Díaz led the charge, going 2-for-6 with a home run, three RBIs, and a run scored. On the mound, Drew Rasmussen earned the victory, allowing just two runs on seven hits over five innings while striking out five. Toronto starter Kevin Gausman never found his rhythm, surrendering five runs (four earned) on nine hits in only 3.1 innings, suffering his ninth loss of the season.



Griffin Jax (5-7, 4.08 ERA) gets the ball for Tampa Bay tonight seeking his sixth win of the season. Through 26 appearances, the right-hander has logged 75 innings with 77 strikeouts and a respectable 1.27 WHIP. He is looking to right the ship after a brutal outing last week in which he allowed seven runs on eight hits over just five innings in a 10-0 loss to the Red Sox in Boston. His previous two starts this month yielded better results: one run allowed in five innings against Seattle on July 11 and three runs over five innings against the Yankees on July 6.



It’s a bullpen game for Toronto who counters with right-hander Braydon Fisher (3-3, 3.65 ERA). Fisher has quietly been one of Toronto's more effective pitchers this season but has yet to pitch more than 1.2 innings in any outing this season. He did throw one inning Monday against the Rays giving up a couple hits and a run. The Rays have limited history against Fisher, though Yandy Díaz is 2-for-4 (.500) with a 1.100 OPS against him.



Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.



We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.



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Game Details and How to Watch: Rays vs. Blue Jays​

• Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
• Time: 7:07PM EST
• Site: Rogers Centre
• City: Toronto, ON
• Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Rays.TV, Sportsnet, TVA

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The Latest Odds: Rays vs. Blue Jays​

The latest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:

• Moneyline: Tampa Bay Rays (-107), Toronto Blue Jays (-112)
• Spread: Rays -1.5 (+159), Blue Jays +1.5 (-194)
• Total: 8.0 runs

Probable Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Rays vs. Blue Jays for July 22​

• Rays: Griffin Jax
  Season Totals: 75.0 IP, 5-7, 4.08 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 77K, 26 BB
• 
  Blue Jays: Braydon Fisher
  Season Totals: 49.1 IP, 3-3, 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 50K, 22 BB
  

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Rays vs. Blue Jays​

• George Springer has done damage against Griffin Jax with 2 home runs and a .429 average in 7 ABs
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is just 1-for-9 (.111) against Jax
• Junior Caminero has hit safely in 6 straight games (10-26)
• Jonathan Aranda is 3-11 in this series
• Andres Gimenez is 0-9 over his last 3 games and just 5-38 (.132) in July
• Nathan Lukes is 3-8 in this series
• Chandler Simpson is 5-8 in this series
• Simpson has hit safely in 4 straight games (9-16)

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Top Betting Trends & Insights: Rays vs. Blue Jays​

• The Rays are 59-41 on the Run Line this season
• The Blue Jays are 45-56 on the Run Line this season
• The OVER has cashed 46 times in Tampa’s 100 games this season (46-49-5)
• The OVER has cashed 52 times in the Blue Jays’ 101 games this season (52-45-4)

Expert picks & predictions: Rays vs. Blue Jays​

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet​

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.



Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Rays and the Blue Jays:​

• Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Rays on the Moneyline.
• Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Rays on the Run Line.
• Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total OVER 8.0.

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