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The AFC East is has turned into a two-horse race, and Sunday’s Bills vs. Dolphins clash could be key.
Buffalo is riding high after back-to-back wins, while Miami and head coach Mike McDaniel are desperate to keep their self-respect. With playoff seedings on the line and stars like Josh Allen and James Cook ready to shine, Bills fans are expecting fireworks in Week 10 against a bad defense.
Will the Dolphins finally rise to the challenge, or will the Bills continue their dominance? Here's what the experts are saying — from score predictions to betting odds and key matchups — ahead of the showdown that matters more than you think.
The spread for Bills vs. Dolphins is just shy of double-digits (9.5 points), according to BetMGM. The money line for the Bills is -500 (bet $500 to win $100) and +375 for the Dolphins (bet $100 to win $375). The over/under is 50 points.
Sal Maiorana writes: "Buffalo’s defense has suffered three season-ending injuries in the last week or so to Ed Oliver, Michael Hoecht and Taylor Rapp; Shaq Thompson and Taron Johnson could be facing multiple-week absences; and that was after the losses of DaQuan Jones, TJ Sanders, Damar Hamlin and Dorian Strong who are all on injured reserve.
"McDermott and defensive coordinator Bobby Babich are holding this unit together with duct tape, and they have had to rely on rookies like Maxwell Hairston, Deone Walker, and Jordan Hancock, plus aging veterans like Tre’Davious White, Jordan Poyer and Jordan Phillips to survive. That’s what made the performance and victory against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs so impressive.
"The challenges are lesser against the Dolphins, and a revived Bills team that leaped right back into the conversation for the No. 1 seed in the AFC by beating Kansas City doesn’t figure to stub its toes against this opponent. Complacency and sloppiness are the only things the Bills need to avoid, and those are generally never an issue for a team that knows how to take care of business and go 1-0 each week."
Prediction last week:Chiefs 28, Bills 24.Final score: Bills 28, Chiefs 21.
Jeremy Cluff writes: "The Bills proved that they are a contender with the win over the Chiefs. Contenders don't lose to teams that are just 2-7 on the season. Josh Allen and company will roll."
Prediction last week: Chiefs 27, Bills 23.
Player to watch: RB James Cook.
Ryan Gilbert writes: "The Dolphins struggled out of the gate and haven’t really recovered, but they’ve been able to keep it close in a few of their losses. Those were largely in the early part of the season, though, as they’ve scored just six points in each of their last two losses with a 34-10 win in Atlanta in between.
The Bills are coming off an upset win over the Chiefs and covered as -7.5 favorites in their 40-9 win in Carolina the week prior. This game may not be that much of a blowout, but the Bills should be able to win by double digits against a flailing Dolphins squad.
Prediction last week: Chiefs -2 (-110).
The Bills won the first meeting 31-21 in Week 3, and the key for the Dolphins to keep this close will be forcing turnovers. Buffalo has a plus-four turnover margin in two games since their bye week with Josh Allen at the controls. Miami has three or more turnovers in three of its last four games. That's not a winning formula.
Prediction last week: Chiefs 28, Bills 24.
ESPN Analytics gives Buffalo a 69.3% chance of winning.
Prediction last week: Chiefs win.
"After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bills a win probability of 78%, while the Dolphins have a win probability of 22%."
Prediction last week: Chiefs 27, Bills 24.
ChatGPT predicts the Bills will use James Cook to establish the run early, control the clock and take the home crowd out of the game. In the second, it expects Buffalo will lean on its defense to "clamp down and finish the game."
The AI program predicts Miami will struggle to generate consistent offense early, and may score late after Buffalo has pulled away.
Prediction last week: Bills 24, Chiefs 21.
— Bill Wolcott is a producer who helps cover the Buffalo Bills, high school and Rochester sports in general. The lifelong New Yorker has been a journalist for 31 years.
This article originally appeared on Rochester Democrat and Chronicle: Bills vs. Dolphins predictions, odds, expert picks for Week 10
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Buffalo is riding high after back-to-back wins, while Miami and head coach Mike McDaniel are desperate to keep their self-respect. With playoff seedings on the line and stars like Josh Allen and James Cook ready to shine, Bills fans are expecting fireworks in Week 10 against a bad defense.
Will the Dolphins finally rise to the challenge, or will the Bills continue their dominance? Here's what the experts are saying — from score predictions to betting odds and key matchups — ahead of the showdown that matters more than you think.
The spread for Bills vs. Dolphins is just shy of double-digits (9.5 points), according to BetMGM. The money line for the Bills is -500 (bet $500 to win $100) and +375 for the Dolphins (bet $100 to win $375). The over/under is 50 points.
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Democrat and Chronicle: Bills 30, Dolphins 17
Sal Maiorana writes: "Buffalo’s defense has suffered three season-ending injuries in the last week or so to Ed Oliver, Michael Hoecht and Taylor Rapp; Shaq Thompson and Taron Johnson could be facing multiple-week absences; and that was after the losses of DaQuan Jones, TJ Sanders, Damar Hamlin and Dorian Strong who are all on injured reserve.
"McDermott and defensive coordinator Bobby Babich are holding this unit together with duct tape, and they have had to rely on rookies like Maxwell Hairston, Deone Walker, and Jordan Hancock, plus aging veterans like Tre’Davious White, Jordan Poyer and Jordan Phillips to survive. That’s what made the performance and victory against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs so impressive.
"The challenges are lesser against the Dolphins, and a revived Bills team that leaped right back into the conversation for the No. 1 seed in the AFC by beating Kansas City doesn’t figure to stub its toes against this opponent. Complacency and sloppiness are the only things the Bills need to avoid, and those are generally never an issue for a team that knows how to take care of business and go 1-0 each week."
Prediction last week:Chiefs 28, Bills 24.Final score: Bills 28, Chiefs 21.
The Arizona Republic: Bills 31, Dolphins 17
Jeremy Cluff writes: "The Bills proved that they are a contender with the win over the Chiefs. Contenders don't lose to teams that are just 2-7 on the season. Josh Allen and company will roll."
Prediction last week: Chiefs 27, Bills 23.
Sports Illustrated: Bills -8.5 (-110)
Player to watch: RB James Cook.
Ryan Gilbert writes: "The Dolphins struggled out of the gate and haven’t really recovered, but they’ve been able to keep it close in a few of their losses. Those were largely in the early part of the season, though, as they’ve scored just six points in each of their last two losses with a 34-10 win in Atlanta in between.
The Bills are coming off an upset win over the Chiefs and covered as -7.5 favorites in their 40-9 win in Carolina the week prior. This game may not be that much of a blowout, but the Bills should be able to win by double digits against a flailing Dolphins squad.
Prediction last week: Chiefs -2 (-110).
The Sporting News: Bills 27, Dolphins 17
The Bills won the first meeting 31-21 in Week 3, and the key for the Dolphins to keep this close will be forcing turnovers. Buffalo has a plus-four turnover margin in two games since their bye week with Josh Allen at the controls. Miami has three or more turnovers in three of its last four games. That's not a winning formula.
Prediction last week: Chiefs 28, Bills 24.
ESPN: Bills win
ESPN Analytics gives Buffalo a 69.3% chance of winning.
Prediction last week: Chiefs win.
Dimers: Bills 29, Dolphins 20
"After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bills a win probability of 78%, while the Dolphins have a win probability of 22%."
Prediction last week: Chiefs 27, Bills 24.
ChatGPT: Bills 30, Dolphins 17
ChatGPT predicts the Bills will use James Cook to establish the run early, control the clock and take the home crowd out of the game. In the second, it expects Buffalo will lean on its defense to "clamp down and finish the game."
The AI program predicts Miami will struggle to generate consistent offense early, and may score late after Buffalo has pulled away.
Prediction last week: Bills 24, Chiefs 21.
— Bill Wolcott is a producer who helps cover the Buffalo Bills, high school and Rochester sports in general. The lifelong New Yorker has been a journalist for 31 years.
This article originally appeared on Rochester Democrat and Chronicle: Bills vs. Dolphins predictions, odds, expert picks for Week 10
Continue reading...
