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Today's article in the AZ Republic.
I don't think very many people expected Gonzo to repeat his 57 HR campaign last year and really his 28 HRs were not off from where he was in 2000 (31) and 1999 (26). His major loss of power came in his 2B total (19) last year. 2002 was 1/2 of 2001 (36) which was even below 2000 (47) and 1999 (45). He was below 35 for the first time since 1997 and below 20 for the first time since 1992(!).
I think Gonzo needs to pay attention more to Barry's BB total and OBP than to Barry's AVG last year. If Gonzo is able to keep his OBP over .400 and keep getting BBs every 5-6 ABs then he will more than make up for his under .300 AVG or his drop in power (which is eventual).
Here is my projection of Gonzo for 2003 though:
I don't think very many people expected Gonzo to repeat his 57 HR campaign last year and really his 28 HRs were not off from where he was in 2000 (31) and 1999 (26). His major loss of power came in his 2B total (19) last year. 2002 was 1/2 of 2001 (36) which was even below 2000 (47) and 1999 (45). He was below 35 for the first time since 1997 and below 20 for the first time since 1992(!).
"That's why with Barry being as good as he is, a lot of times they don't throw anything close to the plate. But the one time they do, he doesn't miss."
Bonds was able to compensate for his power drop-off by easily winning the National League batting title, and that's the kind of consistency Gonzalez is striving for.
I think Gonzo needs to pay attention more to Barry's BB total and OBP than to Barry's AVG last year. If Gonzo is able to keep his OBP over .400 and keep getting BBs every 5-6 ABs then he will more than make up for his under .300 AVG or his drop in power (which is eventual).
Here is my projection of Gonzo for 2003 though:
Code:
Player AB BB K HR H 2B 3B SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
Gonzale 580 88 78 35 177 33 4 5 0.305 0.397 0.559 0.956
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