DWKB
ASFN Icon
Looks like a good argument could be made that UofA is the biggest choker in the NCAA Tourney 64 team history with 11 total first round losses and 55% of them being favored. This doesn't include 2018 either. Indiana, Missouri, and Oklahoma right on their tail.
So are certain schools uniquely susceptible to March heartache? We looked back over every team’s opening-round game since the tourney expanded to 64 teams in 1985 — including the round of 64 and the play-in games known as the First Four.The First Four got its start in 2011; play-in games between No. 16 seeds in earlier years were not included in this analysis.
Some higher seeds do seem to head home early more than others — and a few of those well-known names are putting together an interesting range of losses.
In the past 33 tournaments, 22 teams have made opening-round exits at least eight times.We didn’t count round-of-64 losses that occurred after a team had won a play-in game.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...-isnt-easy-but-these-schools-are-trying/#fn-2
But most of those teams have typically been underdogs — teams that want to win, of course, but aren’t strictly supposed to. Brigham Young, for example, has lost its opening game 12 times, including once in the First Four, but never as a seed better than eighth.The Cougars have lost as a No. 8 seed four times.
Only eight of those 22 teams were seeded better than their opponent in half or more of their opening-round losses. One of those teams is Arizona, which has lost 11 times in the round of 64 and as the better seed in six of those games — most recently in 2016 as a No. 6 seed to a Wichita State team that had to win a play-in game just to be there. Missouri and Indiana have each lost 10 round-of-64 games, though only five of the Tigers’ losses came as the better seed, while the Hoosiers were the better seed in eight of their defeats.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...-seed-isnt-easy-but-these-schools-are-trying/
So are certain schools uniquely susceptible to March heartache? We looked back over every team’s opening-round game since the tourney expanded to 64 teams in 1985 — including the round of 64 and the play-in games known as the First Four.The First Four got its start in 2011; play-in games between No. 16 seeds in earlier years were not included in this analysis.
Some higher seeds do seem to head home early more than others — and a few of those well-known names are putting together an interesting range of losses.
In the past 33 tournaments, 22 teams have made opening-round exits at least eight times.We didn’t count round-of-64 losses that occurred after a team had won a play-in game.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...-isnt-easy-but-these-schools-are-trying/#fn-2
But most of those teams have typically been underdogs — teams that want to win, of course, but aren’t strictly supposed to. Brigham Young, for example, has lost its opening game 12 times, including once in the First Four, but never as a seed better than eighth.The Cougars have lost as a No. 8 seed four times.
Only eight of those 22 teams were seeded better than their opponent in half or more of their opening-round losses. One of those teams is Arizona, which has lost 11 times in the round of 64 and as the better seed in six of those games — most recently in 2016 as a No. 6 seed to a Wichita State team that had to win a play-in game just to be there. Missouri and Indiana have each lost 10 round-of-64 games, though only five of the Tigers’ losses came as the better seed, while the Hoosiers were the better seed in eight of their defeats.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...-seed-isnt-easy-but-these-schools-are-trying/
