That's why Trump's talk about regional quarantines is just plain old stupid. 2,000 dead today. 4,000 dead by Monday-Tuesday. 8,000 dead by Wednesday-Friday. And 16,000 dead by Friday-Monday week after. Hopefully not, but given how some states (looking at you, Florida) refuse to shut down all non-essential businesses (at least), that appears to be the direction where we are heading.