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  1. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    The Packers' loss to the Giants on Monday night gives the Cardinals a few more outs in their quest for the Super Bowl. But by opening up a few additional pathways to the playoffs (the Cardinals could still mathematically even get the 6-seed) this has led to an ugly convoluted knot of potential...
  2. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios, 2023 Variety

    The Cardinals have avoided mathematical playoff elimination with their win over Pittsburgh. However, elimination still looms and will catch Arizona if either of the following happen in Week 14: 1) Rams win + Packers win -OR- 2) Rams win + Packers tie + Vikings win/tie The first Green Bay...
  3. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Elimination Scenarios

    With the loss to New England, the Cardinals will be officially eliminated from playoff contention in Week 15 with: ARI loss -OR- SEA win + WSH win* -OR- SEA win + NYG win* -OR- ARI tie + SEA win/tie -OR- ARI tie + NYG/WSH tie *The Giants and Commanders play each other next Sunday night, so if...
  4. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Elimination Scenarios

    Going into Week 14, the Cardinals can be mathematically eliminated with: ARI loss + SEA win + NYG win/tie DETAILS: With a loss to NE, the best the Cardinals would be able to do is 8-9 and wouldn’t be able to catch PHI/DAL/MIN/SF and the South winner. That leaves two spots and we would have to...
  5. TheCardinal

    Week 18 Playoff Scenarios

    With the win over Dallas, the Cardinals have clinched no worse than the 5-seed. If we don’t catch the Rams (we would need an ARI win + LAR loss), we are the 5-seed. If we do catch the Rams at 12-5, we could be as high as the 2-seed. We would win all tie-breakers over TB. We would win MOST...
  6. TheCardinal

    Wild Card Tie-Breaker Scenarios

    Going 9-7 puts us in good position to make the playoffs. Going 8-8 makes it much more difficult, and could come down to a very tight strength-of-victory (SOV) tie-breaker with Minnesota, if they win an exact combination of games. We could still catch TB at 8-8 for one spot should they lose...
  7. TheCardinal

    Playoff Tie-Breakers (ARI 7-6)

    More to come after the late games. As before, we still control our own destiny for the playoffs. Get to 10-6, and we’re in. At 9-7, to avoid being caught from behind, we would need one more loss each from MIN, CHI, DET, and SNF. This would include games currently in-action (DET and SNF). We...
  8. TheCardinal

    Playoff Tie-Breakers (ARI 6-6)

    No elimination scenarios yet for the Cardinals for Week 14. Obviously no clinching scenarios yet for us either. You can cue Jim Mora about our chances of making the post-season, but for those keeping score at home, here is how things shape up for the Cardinals in potential tie-breakers. Most...
  9. TheCardinal

    Playoff Tie-Breakers (ARI 6-5)

    Well, better than posting Elimination Scenarios before Thanksgiving. With our final AFC game in the books and our conference record now linked to our eventual overall record, we can start looking ahead to potential tie-breakers. A few ground rules. First, you have to rank each team 1 though 4...
  10. TheCardinal

    Tie-Breakers for First Draft Pick

    Currently at 3-12, the Cardinals would get the overall #1 pick with a loss next week. The Raiders have clinched the better strength of schedule (SOS) giving us the higher pick. However, should we beat Seattle, this is how I see the other possible ties. SF: We have clinched the better SOS over...
  11. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Cardinals’ Playoff Scenarios

    For entertainment purposes only. To remain mathematically alive for the playoffs through Week 14, the Arizona Cardinals need: ARI win over DET + WSH loss/tie, or DAL loss, or PHI loss Since Dallas and Philly play each other this week, as long as they don’t tie, the second criterion is...
  12. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Playoff Scenarios

    Well, boys and girls, the Cardinals barely survived mathematical playoff elimination in Week 14 with their win over Tennessee and Seattle’s loss to Jacksonville. That means we get another set of survival scenarios for Week 15. By my calculations, to stay alive through Week 15, we need: ARI win...
  13. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Playoff Scenarios

    Sadly it is already that time to post the Cardinals’ elimination scenarios. With the loss to the Rams, Arizona cannot win the division. Also, the Cardinals would lose all tie-breakers to Seattle. To survive through Week 14, the Cardinals pretty much need to win, and get a loss by either SEA or...
  14. TheCardinal

    Week 17 Arizona Playoff Scenarios

    So of course, the Cardinals have clinched the NFC West and now the first-round bye. The Vikings are winning 32-10 heading into the fourth quarter, so I'm going to assume they hang on. For Arizona to clinch the 1-seed, we need: ARI over SEA + TB over CRL If the Cardinals get the 1-seed...
  15. TheCardinal

    Week 16 Arizona Clinching Scenarios

    The Cardinals have already clinched the NFC West (obviously!). To clinch a first-round bye next week: ARI win or tie To stay alive for the 1-seed after next week: ARI win + CRL loss It's really a simple set of scenarios that remain. Here's another way to look at it. For the Cardinals to...
  16. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Arizona clinching scenarios

    For WEEK 15, here is what I've got: The Cardinals can clinch the NFC West with: ARI win/tie vs PHI OR SEA loss/tie vs CLE OR CIN over SF + NO over DET + DEN over PIT + NYJ over DAL The Cardinals can clinch a first-round bye with: ARI over PHI + OAK over GB The Cardinals stay alive for the...
  17. TheCardinal

    Week 14 Arizona Clinching Scenarios

    With the night games (Sunday/Monday) still not complete, here is what I see for next week's games. To clinch a playoff berth (at least a wildcard): ARI over MIN OR NO over TB + either CRL over ATL OR GB over DAL To clinch the NFC West: ARI over MIN + BAL over SEA OR ARI over MIN + IND over...
  18. TheCardinal

    Week 13 clinching scenarios for Arizona -- none yet

    With the Seahawks' win over Pittsburgh, I don't see any clinching scenarios for the Cardinals in Week 13. But we can get VERY close. If AZ wins over STL + MIN wins over SEA: The best Seattle could then do is tie us at 10-6 and the tie-breaker would come down to strength-of-victory. Eight of...
  19. TheCardinal

    Week 15 Clinching Scenarios

    I'm not sure if I have them all worked out just yet, but this is what I see so far. To clinch at least a wildcard next weekend, any of the following should do: ARI win + DAL loss or ARI win + PHI loss + GB win against BUF (Wk15) or ARI win + GB loss to ATL (Wk14) + DET loss or ARI win + GB...

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