2021 4th round pick is Marco Wilson CB

BigRedRage

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Haha, it's pretty bad for the top pick of round 2. Guys in that round are supposed to be stars or good starters. I know you miss sometimes, but the expectations are high and even higher at the top of 2.


I mean, he is a starter. Especially with our draft record, I'll take it. If out of 7 picks annually we keep 4 players and 2 are consistent starters, its not a bad draft.
 

Krangodnzr

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Haha, it's pretty bad for the top pick of round 2. Guys in that round are supposed to be stars or good starters. I know you miss sometimes, but the expectations are high and even higher at the top of 2.

See this is where you have been Kiper-ed.

2nd round picks that are decent players are good picks.

Quit listening to the draft fan boys and start looking at reality. Murphy is a good player.
 

Krangodnzr

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@Solar7

A good case study on a good draft pick that may thought was a bust was Calvin Pace. He ended up being a good player. Not a star, but he played over a decade. Not his fault the Cardinals played him at the wrong position.
 

Solar7

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I mean, he is a starter. Especially with our draft record, I'll take it. If out of 7 picks annually we keep 4 players and 2 are consistent starters, its not a bad draft.
He's... not. But okay. I know this just devolves into the "he's technically a starter" conversation, so we don't need to have it again. The issue is, he can't cover the best guys in our division, much less the league.

We overinvested. it is what it is, but the comparison is the Seahawks getting their slot specialist late in the 4th round as compared to us being 1 pick away from taking him in the first.

@Solar7

A good case study on a good draft pick that may thought was a bust was Calvin Pace. He ended up being a good player. Not a star, but he played over a decade. Not his fault the Cardinals played him at the wrong position.
Pace is always going to be judged on exactly what he should be - what we missed out on because of taking him. While Pace had a 10 year career or whatever, he did most of his best work on someone else's roster, while we passed on a hall of fame player.

I'd much rather have an AJ Brown or DK Metcalf over Byron Murphy, and that's just off of the top of my head without looking at the round.
 

Krangodnzr

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He's... not. But okay. I know this just devolves into the "he's technically a starter" conversation, so we don't need to have it again. The issue is, he can't cover the best guys in our division, much less the league.

We overinvested. it is what it is, but the comparison is the Seahawks getting their slot specialist late in the 4th round as compared to us being 1 pick away from taking him in the first.


Pace is always going to be judged on exactly what he should be - what we missed out on because of taking him. While Pace had a 10 year career or whatever, he did most of his best work on someone else's roster, while we passed on a hall of fame player.

I'd much rather have an AJ Brown or DK Metcalf over Byron Murphy, and that's just off of the top of my head without looking at the round.

The point isn't that they missed out on.

He was a good, steady, solid player that had a long career. It's not relevant to the point I'm making.

Focus.

Pace WAS being used correctly by the time he left and was good. That's really all you want from your average first round pick....a good player.
 

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The point isn't that they missed out on.

He was a good, steady, solid player that had a long career. It's not relevant to the point I'm making.

Focus.

Pace WAS being used correctly by the time he left and was good. That's really all you want from your average first round pick....a good player.
He had one good year in an irrelevant season and started a total of 38 games of a potential 80 for us in 5 years. That's a bad pick.
 

Ouchie-Z-Clown

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The point isn't that they missed out on.

He was a good, steady, solid player that had a long career. It's not relevant to the point I'm making.

Focus.

Pace WAS being used correctly by the time he left and was good. That's really all you want from your average first round pick....a good player.
I think it depends. We had the 6th pick. At that part of the draft you’re hoping to hit on a pro bowler. And Lo and behold - Suggs. When you trade down you’re hoping for a good player plus. We blew it with skillet hands.
 

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Haha, it's pretty bad for the top pick of round 2. Guys in that round are supposed to be stars or good starters. I know you miss sometimes, but the expectations are high and even higher at the top of 2.

Lets see:
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Landon Collins is the only star out of this group. Tee Higgins is better but not a star.

Together with Austin Corbett Byron Murphy is probably the next best player, so he is a better than average pick for that position.

Definitely not a failed pick at 33. I think you are overvaluing the draft which remains a lottery. And no, Steve Keim is not the only GM who missed better players which were picked later on. Most others missed them as well.
 

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Landon Collins is the only star out of this group. Tee Higgins is better but not a star.

Together with Austin Corbett Byron Murphy is probably the next best player, so he is a better than average pick for that position.

Definitely not a failed pick at 33. I think you are overvaluing the draft which remains a lottery. And no, Steve Keim is not the only GM who missed better players which were picked later on. Most others missed them as well.

I knife to the heart in the form of data.
 

Solar7

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Landon Collins is the only star out of this group. Tee Higgins is better but not a star.

Together with Austin Corbett Byron Murphy is probably the next best player, so he is a better than average pick for that position.

Definitely not a failed pick at 33. I think you are overvaluing the draft which remains a lottery. And no, Steve Keim is not the only GM who missed better players which were picked later on. Most others missed them as well.
Listen, I'd be pissed if we were the Packers and drafted Kevin freaking King with that pick too. Drafting a guy to intentionally only be a nickel back with that high of a pick is nonsensical to me. I'm not even so mad about a "miss," just the lack of positional value.

Also, yes, other GMs missed, but Keim is statistically the worst drafter in the league in the past 4 years (this year notwithstanding). Murphy is his 3rd best pick since 2016 and that's just awful.
 

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Listen, I'd be pissed if we were the Packers and drafted Kevin freaking King with that pick too. Drafting a guy to intentionally only be a nickel back with that high of a pick is nonsensical to me. I'm not even so mad about a "miss," just the lack of positional value.

Also, yes, other GMs missed, but Keim is statistically the worst drafter in the league in the past 4 years (this year notwithstanding). Murphy is his 3rd best pick since 2016 and that's just awful.

I'm looking at all the guys around him in that draft and it's not like we missed some stud 2 picks later. There's a lot of meh there.

Only star is AJ Brown 20 picks later.
 

Solar7

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I'm looking at all the guys around him in that draft and it's not like we missed some stud 2 picks later. There's a lot of meh there.

Only star is AJ Brown 20 picks later.
DK Metcalf went in the same round and is a star, just off the top of my head. I'm not on a computer at the moment so I'll have to examine the rest later.
 

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DK Metcalf went in the same round and is a star, just off the top of my head. I'm not on a computer at the moment so I'll have to examine the rest later.

He went right at the back end. You can certainly argue DK over Isabella.
 

Solar7

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He went right at the back end. You can certainly argue DK over Isabella.
Yeah, I'm just saying I could swallow a failed player at a more impactful position than I can an average one that ONLY plays nickel decently. Especially given how many needs we had at the time.
 

DVontel

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Listen, I'd be pissed if we were the Packers and drafted Kevin freaking King with that pick too. Drafting a guy to intentionally only be a nickel back with that high of a pick is nonsensical to me. I'm not even so mad about a "miss," just the lack of positional value.

Also, yes, other GMs missed, but Keim is statistically the worst drafter in the league in the past 4 years (this year notwithstanding). Murphy is his 3rd best pick since 2016 and that's just awful.
Kind of hilarious from you.
 

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Yeah, I'm just saying I could swallow a failed player at a more impactful position than I can an average one that ONLY plays nickel decently. Especially given how many needs we had at the time.

I didn't like the pick at the time. I think it's fair to argue that guys that project to be nickel corners can't be value that high.

But it's saved slightly by there being no obvious players we missed on in that same vicinity.
 

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Yeah, I'm just saying I could swallow a failed player at a more impactful position than I can an average one that ONLY plays nickel decently. Especially given how many needs we had at the time.
You would rather have a bust if he played a different position, then a dude that is playing plenty? I'm sorry but that doesn't make any sense. I rather have a great kicker then a bust QB.
 

Krangodnzr

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I think it depends. We had the 6th pick. At that part of the draft you’re hoping to hit on a pro bowler. And Lo and behold - Suggs. When you trade down you’re hoping for a good player plus. We blew it with skillet hands.

That's missing the point on what I'm saying...again...the point I'm making is that getting a good player at a pick isn't a loss EVER.

The criticism of trading down is obfuscating my point. Getting a player that plays a decade in the NFL and for a good chunk of his career and an above replacement level isn't a loss.

Byron Murphy isnt a bad player. He isn't a star, but he has made game winning plays.
 

Krangodnzr

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Yeah, I'm just saying I could swallow a failed player at a more impactful position than I can an average one that ONLY plays nickel decently. Especially given how many needs we had at the time.

:biglaugh:

Nickels play a substantial part of the game and are pretty much just as valuable as outside corners, which are the most valuable positions defensively for the most part.

Holy crap...
 

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“ positional Value” is a joke

the only position that matters is “ contributor on the roster”

you get two guys who are on the field for sixty percent of your snaps and that’s a win

get three and it’s a great draft

happen to get a pro bowler and it’s a fantastic draft
 

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That's missing the point on what I'm saying...again...the point I'm making is that getting a good player at a pick isn't a loss EVER.

The criticism of trading down is obfuscating my point. Getting a player that plays a decade in the NFL and for a good chunk of his career and an above replacement level isn't a loss.

Byron Murphy isn't a bad player. He isn't a star, but he has made game winning plays.

There's two different arguments here.

Positional value is real, so there is a pre draft (or just after the draft) argument to be made that on paper #33 is too high for a guy that's a nickel. I think that argument has some merit. Nickels don't play as many downs and they are often covering the lesser WR's, not always, but more often. Of the 3 CB positions Nickel is the least important, they are all important, but it is the least.

This is evidenced by the fact most people could rank the top 10 outside cornerbacks. Barely anyone could name 5 nickel corners, never mind rank the best ones. Brian Poole is universally considered top 5 and doesn't even have a team yet.

But then also you are correct that any pick that works out as a decent player is a good pick. So many don't. And I don't see much of an argument now for not drafting Murphy considering there's nobody drafted in that vicinity you can really say was an obvious better option.
 

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There's two different arguments here.

Positional value is real, so there is a pre draft (or just after the draft) argument to be made that on paper #33 is too high for a guy that's a nickel. I think that argument has some merit. Nickels don't play as many downs and they are often covering the lesser WR's, not always, but more often. Of the 3 CB positions Nickel is the least important, they are all important, but it is the least.

This is evidenced by the fact most people could rank the top 10 outside cornerbacks. Barely anyone could name 5 nickel corners, never mind rank the best ones. Brian Poole is universally considered top 5 and doesn't even have a team yet.

But then also you are correct that any pick that works out as a decent player is a good pick. So many don't. And I don't see much of an argument now for not drafting Murphy considering there's nobody drafted in that vicinity you can really say was an obvious better option.

Maybe nothing more than evidence of ignorance of how the position has become key to passing "D" in the modern game.
 

Ouchie-Z-Clown

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That's missing the point on what I'm saying...again...the point I'm making is that getting a good player at a pick isn't a loss EVER.

The criticism of trading down is obfuscating my point. Getting a player that plays a decade in the NFL and for a good chunk of his career and an above replacement level isn't a loss.

Byron Murphy isnt a bad player. He isn't a star, but he has made game winning plays.
Perhaps not a loss, but it’s a failure to maximize. Again, at the high end of the first round you’re not seeking a contributor. You’re seeking a pro bowler.
 
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