Here are mine
Arizona Cardinals 2012 Over/Unders
- Thread starter kerouac9
- Start date
Here are mine
My final entry
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kerouac9
Klowned by Keim
OFFENSE:
Kevin Kolb
Starts: 9.5 Over - I think that Kolb starts at least 12 games.
Completion %: 62.5 Under - I just don't think that Kolb is as accurate as we'll want him to be in an offense where we're going to ask the ball to travel 8-12 yards downfield on most attempts.
Yards: 2800 Over - I'd expect at least 3200 yards if he starts 12 games, and at least 3800 if he starts the entire year.
TDs: 19.5 Over. No excuse not to toss at least 20 TDs
INTs: 9.5 Over.
John Skelton
Starts: 5.5 Under
Completion %: 60 Over -- If he starts, I'm expecting a continuing increase in his completion as he becomes more comfortable with the offense and the speed of the game.
Yards: 2200 Under -- But I don't anticipate him starting a lot.
TDs: 11.5 Under
INTs: 11.5 Under
Chris "Beanie" Wells
Starts: 12.5 Over -- Healthy Beanie this year.
Attempts: 230 I think this might be the best line on here. I'm gonna go a little UNDER, although I think it's going to be close.
Yards: 950 Under -- This staff isn't interested in running the ball, and Beanie's going to be in more of a time-share than he'll want or be effective in.
TDs: 9 Under
Ryan Williams
Starts: 3.5 Under
Attempts: 120 Over -- Otherwise, what a wasted pick this was.
Rushing Yards: 750 Under -- But not by much.
Receptions: 24.5 Over -- But not by much, mostly because we'll be trying to limit his touches to I think less than 12 per game.
Receiving Yards: 200 Over, but it'll be close
TDs: 4.5 Under. 4 feels about right.
LaRod Stephens-Howling
Attempts: 29.5 Under
Receptions: 9.5 Under
Larry Fitzgerald
Receptions: 75 Over -- But I don't think we're looking for him to have 95 receptions this year.
Yards: 1450 Under -- I think we'll see a lot more checkdowns from Kolb, and Fitz'll have trouble maintaining his production
TDs: 9.5 Under
Andre Roberts
Receptions: 60 Over -- If Kolb stays healthy, I think he'll like Roberts' YAC ability (4.4 average last year, 37th in the NFL)
Yards: 600 Over -- If the offense is running, there's no reason that Roberts--Kolb's favorite target after Fitz--shouldn't have 800+ yards
TDs: 4 Push -- But the red zone is going to be a different story
Early Doucet
Receptions: 45 Under - Slightly smaller role and I don't think that Kolb likes Doucet as much.
Yards: 500 Under - But only slightly.
TDs: 4 Push - I think that Doucet's value is in the red zone
Michael Floyd
Games: 12 Over--but not by much. I think we'll see as much of Michael Floyd in the first half of the season as we do of Stephen Williams and Demarco Sampson. Not because Floyd is bad, but Roberts and Doucet are more developed right now.
Starts: 4.5 Under
Receptions: 39.5 Over. But I think that people are dreaming if they expect Floyd to have 60 receptions this year.
Yards: 450 Over, but not by much.
TDs: 4 Push.
Todd Heap
Games: 11.5 Over
Starts: 8.5 Over -- I think there's immense pressure from the front office for Heap to be visible. As long as he can get out on the field for the first snap, the coaching staff is going to run him out there.
Receptions: 20 Over -- But not by much. He had 24 last year with worse weapons around him. It'll be close to this number
TDs: 1.5 Under.
Jeff King
Receptions: 20 Under -- Rob Housler is going to eat up a lot of his touches in the passing game.
TDs: 1.5 Under
Rob Housler
Receptions: 29.5 Under. 30 receptions would've made him 4th on the team last year, behind the starting wideouts. Housler's not as good as Rob Grokowski, Jimmy Graham, and Anthony Gonzales, but more importantly, the guy delivering him the ball won't be as good as Tom Brady, Drew Brees, or Matt Ryan.
TDs: 2.5 Over. But I think expecting 6 is unreasonable.
Levi Brown
Sacks Allowed: 8.5 Under. It'll be more a function of improved quarterback play than skill by Brown
Blown blocks: 11.5 Under. Quarterbacks understanding the system better = less chance for QB hits and knockdowns.
Jeremy Bridges
Starts: 7.5 Over - It's one thing for the NFL to overlook a runningback or corner, it's another thing for the NFL to overlook a very good offensive lineman. Bobbie Massie is going to disappoint.
Kevin Kolb
Starts: 9.5 Over - I think that Kolb starts at least 12 games.
Completion %: 62.5 Under - I just don't think that Kolb is as accurate as we'll want him to be in an offense where we're going to ask the ball to travel 8-12 yards downfield on most attempts.
Yards: 2800 Over - I'd expect at least 3200 yards if he starts 12 games, and at least 3800 if he starts the entire year.
TDs: 19.5 Over. No excuse not to toss at least 20 TDs
INTs: 9.5 Over.
John Skelton
Starts: 5.5 Under
Completion %: 60 Over -- If he starts, I'm expecting a continuing increase in his completion as he becomes more comfortable with the offense and the speed of the game.
Yards: 2200 Under -- But I don't anticipate him starting a lot.
TDs: 11.5 Under
INTs: 11.5 Under
Chris "Beanie" Wells
Starts: 12.5 Over -- Healthy Beanie this year.
Attempts: 230 I think this might be the best line on here. I'm gonna go a little UNDER, although I think it's going to be close.
Yards: 950 Under -- This staff isn't interested in running the ball, and Beanie's going to be in more of a time-share than he'll want or be effective in.
TDs: 9 Under
Ryan Williams
Starts: 3.5 Under
Attempts: 120 Over -- Otherwise, what a wasted pick this was.
Rushing Yards: 750 Under -- But not by much.
Receptions: 24.5 Over -- But not by much, mostly because we'll be trying to limit his touches to I think less than 12 per game.
Receiving Yards: 200 Over, but it'll be close
TDs: 4.5 Under. 4 feels about right.
LaRod Stephens-Howling
Attempts: 29.5 Under
Receptions: 9.5 Under
Larry Fitzgerald
Receptions: 75 Over -- But I don't think we're looking for him to have 95 receptions this year.
Yards: 1450 Under -- I think we'll see a lot more checkdowns from Kolb, and Fitz'll have trouble maintaining his production
TDs: 9.5 Under
Andre Roberts
Receptions: 60 Over -- If Kolb stays healthy, I think he'll like Roberts' YAC ability (4.4 average last year, 37th in the NFL)
Yards: 600 Over -- If the offense is running, there's no reason that Roberts--Kolb's favorite target after Fitz--shouldn't have 800+ yards
TDs: 4 Push -- But the red zone is going to be a different story
Early Doucet
Receptions: 45 Under - Slightly smaller role and I don't think that Kolb likes Doucet as much.
Yards: 500 Under - But only slightly.
TDs: 4 Push - I think that Doucet's value is in the red zone
Michael Floyd
Games: 12 Over--but not by much. I think we'll see as much of Michael Floyd in the first half of the season as we do of Stephen Williams and Demarco Sampson. Not because Floyd is bad, but Roberts and Doucet are more developed right now.
Starts: 4.5 Under
Receptions: 39.5 Over. But I think that people are dreaming if they expect Floyd to have 60 receptions this year.
Yards: 450 Over, but not by much.
TDs: 4 Push.
Todd Heap
Games: 11.5 Over
Starts: 8.5 Over -- I think there's immense pressure from the front office for Heap to be visible. As long as he can get out on the field for the first snap, the coaching staff is going to run him out there.
Receptions: 20 Over -- But not by much. He had 24 last year with worse weapons around him. It'll be close to this number
TDs: 1.5 Under.
Jeff King
Receptions: 20 Under -- Rob Housler is going to eat up a lot of his touches in the passing game.
TDs: 1.5 Under
Rob Housler
Receptions: 29.5 Under. 30 receptions would've made him 4th on the team last year, behind the starting wideouts. Housler's not as good as Rob Grokowski, Jimmy Graham, and Anthony Gonzales, but more importantly, the guy delivering him the ball won't be as good as Tom Brady, Drew Brees, or Matt Ryan.
TDs: 2.5 Over. But I think expecting 6 is unreasonable.
Levi Brown
Sacks Allowed: 8.5 Under. It'll be more a function of improved quarterback play than skill by Brown
Blown blocks: 11.5 Under. Quarterbacks understanding the system better = less chance for QB hits and knockdowns.
Jeremy Bridges
Starts: 7.5 Over - It's one thing for the NFL to overlook a runningback or corner, it's another thing for the NFL to overlook a very good offensive lineman. Bobbie Massie is going to disappoint.
I'm going over on the wins. The Cards won 8 games last year and should be even better this season. 4-2 in Division 6-4 out for 10-6.
Cbus cardsfan
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Here's min for defense. It looks like we'll have alot of tackles and alot of INTs.
80 seems like a lot of tackles for Wilson. He's only done it twice in his 11 year career.
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kerouac9
Klowned by Keim
I'll give you 4-2 in division for argument's sake. But where do you find 6 wins on this OOD schedule?
@New England
Philadelphia (Healthy)
Miami
Buffalo
@Minnesota (when was the last time we won in the Rollerdome?)
@Green Bay
@Atlanta (who're almost unstoppable at home)
@New York Jets
Detroit
Chicago
Cards have to win the Miami and Buffalo games, and should win two of the four games against Philly, Detroit, Chicago, and at Minnesota. I don't think we have a chance against Green Bay or Atlanta on the road, and @Jets and hosting the Lions are too far away to tell.
I think that the 2012 Cardinals could be significantly better than the 2011 edition, and finish with two fewer wins.
I would say that the reason Heap had such poor numbers last year was the fact that he couldn't stay healthy and on the field. He only started 4 games last year. If you think he will start at least 9 games I would think he should easily have over 30 receptions. If he can make it through the entire season then I think he could have around 50.
Phrazbit
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... I hope you're right. I just dont see that many wins on the schedule, and I think our offense is still going to hold us back.
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kerouac9
Klowned by Keim
Started 4 games, appeared in 10 (per NFL.com). I don't think that Todd Heap can stay healthy anymore. He's amassed 50 or more receptions once in the last five years. He was cut from Baltimore and they didn't ask for money back or anything else.
While I think that Rob Housler is going to eat into Jeff King's playing time, I think that he's going to eat into Todd Heap's touches. If we were talking about a player that didn't have the local adoration of Heap, I'd agree with Cbus that it's not likely that he'd even make the 53-man roster. But because Heap's a local kid I think the team hesitated to even take the massive paycut his production probably deserved (Krang's protestations notwithstanding).
I think that Heap had the limited production that he did last season not because he's still among even the top 30 tight ends in the NFL, but because Kevin Kolb was looking to dump off to a big target when he didn't know what he was looking at--13 of his 24 receptions came in his first 4 games last year.
If Kolb figures out the offense and gets to know the superior weapons around him, I think that he's going to be able to distribute the ball more effectively, and Robert, Floyd, and Housler are going to be the main beneficiaries of that.
HookemCards
Have at you!!!!!
Let the Kool Aid pour
I misread your orignal prediction. Didn't see the part about running him out there for the first snap. I assumed you thought he would be healthy for those 9 starts.
HookemCards
Have at you!!!!!
Think the D has a chance to be very, very good this year barring a lot of injuries, but even depth is better (except maybe LB which is about the same)
HookemCards
Have at you!!!!!
Really have no ideas on which scrubs will make the team
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kerouac9
Klowned by Keim
I'll do my defensive predictions today and I'll attack the special teams/season/roster ones tomorrow...
Darnell Dockett
Tackles: 55 Under -- I think that Darnell's going to get spelled more and he's on the downside of his career at this point--sorry, 9-0
Sacks: 4.5 Under, but only by a half-sack
Dan Williams
Games: 13.5 Over
Starts: 11.5 Over
Tackles: 30 Over--but not by much
Sacks: 2.5 Under-- you may be able to count Dumpster Dan's career sacks on two hands by the time his career is done.
Calais Campbell
Tackles: 70 Under--mostly because I'm hoping that the OLBs will do more work
Sacks: 6.5 Over
David Carter
Tackles: 20 Over, but not by much
Sacks: 2.5 Push
Sam Acho
Tackles: 55 Over
Sacks: 8.5 Push. I think that 8.5 sacks is just about his ceiling, and that's great for his draft status.
O'Brien Schofield
Tackles: 45 Under
Sacks: 5.5 Under--I think that Schofield is going to find his way off the roster by the end of the year, and the Cards'll still be looking for answers at the OLB position for the long term
Clark Haggans
Tackles: 30 Over
Sacks: 2.5 Under
Stewart Bradley
Starts: 5.5 Over -- But not for who you're thinking
Tackles: 40 Over-- counting special teams
Sacks: 2.5 Over--looking to salvage something form this bad signing, Bradley takes over for Joey Porter as a guy who's starting because someone screwed up in signing him.
Daryl Washington
Tackles: 110 Over
Sacks: 4.5 Over, but it'll be close
Passes Defensed: 8.5 Over--we face more teams with good tight ends this year
INTs: 2.5 Over--stick'em
Threads calling out K9 for not immediately falling in love with: 4.5 Over
Paris Lenon
Starts: 12.5 Over--you'll pry Lenon's starting job from his cold, dead hands
Tackles: 90 Over--Lenon is the primary benficiary of Dan Williams' health and the rest of the DL knowing the system
Sacks: 2.5 Over
Passes Defensed: 2.5 Under--I think that Bradley starts taking over for him on passing downs to protect against the run a little bit.
Kerry Rhodes
Starts: 13.5 Over
Tackles: 80 Over--the run defense isn't going to be THAT good
INTs: 3.5 Over--I don't think people understand that cornerbacks don't get INTs in this system, safeties do. The zone blitz fools quarterbacks into thinking there are holes where the safeties are sitting there waiting for the ball.
Adrian Wilson
Tackles: 80 Over
Sacks: 2.5 Over--I think we'll see more of Rhodes taking Wilson's SS roles and Rashad Johnson playing FS in nickel packages
INTs: 1.5 Under
Passes defensed: 11.5 Over--Blow up some guys this year, ADub
Patrick Peterson
Sacks: 0.5 Over
INTs: 2.5 Under--if only because teams are going to stop throwing at him, and there aren't as many elite WRs on the schedule this year as last to test him.
Passes defensed: 14.5 Over
Greg Toler
Starts: 6.5 Over -- I think he wins the starting job in camp; the responsibilities aren't that different from what he was doing before
INTs: 1.5 Under
Passes defensed: 10.5 Over
William Gay
Starts: 6.5 Under, but he'll get some starts because we'll start some games in 5 or 6 DB packages
INTs: 0.5 Over--2
Passes defensed: 11.5 Under--he's not starting.
Jamell Fleming
Starts: 5.5 Way, way under.
INTs: 0.5 Under--sorry, rook.
Passes defensed: 7.5 Under
Darnell Dockett
Tackles: 55 Under -- I think that Darnell's going to get spelled more and he's on the downside of his career at this point--sorry, 9-0
Sacks: 4.5 Under, but only by a half-sack
Dan Williams
Games: 13.5 Over
Starts: 11.5 Over
Tackles: 30 Over--but not by much
Sacks: 2.5 Under-- you may be able to count Dumpster Dan's career sacks on two hands by the time his career is done.
Calais Campbell
Tackles: 70 Under--mostly because I'm hoping that the OLBs will do more work
Sacks: 6.5 Over
David Carter
Tackles: 20 Over, but not by much
Sacks: 2.5 Push
Sam Acho
Tackles: 55 Over
Sacks: 8.5 Push. I think that 8.5 sacks is just about his ceiling, and that's great for his draft status.
O'Brien Schofield
Tackles: 45 Under
Sacks: 5.5 Under--I think that Schofield is going to find his way off the roster by the end of the year, and the Cards'll still be looking for answers at the OLB position for the long term
Clark Haggans
Tackles: 30 Over
Sacks: 2.5 Under
Stewart Bradley
Starts: 5.5 Over -- But not for who you're thinking
Tackles: 40 Over-- counting special teams
Sacks: 2.5 Over--looking to salvage something form this bad signing, Bradley takes over for Joey Porter as a guy who's starting because someone screwed up in signing him.
Daryl Washington
Tackles: 110 Over
Sacks: 4.5 Over, but it'll be close
Passes Defensed: 8.5 Over--we face more teams with good tight ends this year
INTs: 2.5 Over--stick'em
Threads calling out K9 for not immediately falling in love with: 4.5 Over
Paris Lenon
Starts: 12.5 Over--you'll pry Lenon's starting job from his cold, dead hands
Tackles: 90 Over--Lenon is the primary benficiary of Dan Williams' health and the rest of the DL knowing the system
Sacks: 2.5 Over
Passes Defensed: 2.5 Under--I think that Bradley starts taking over for him on passing downs to protect against the run a little bit.
Kerry Rhodes
Starts: 13.5 Over
Tackles: 80 Over--the run defense isn't going to be THAT good
INTs: 3.5 Over--I don't think people understand that cornerbacks don't get INTs in this system, safeties do. The zone blitz fools quarterbacks into thinking there are holes where the safeties are sitting there waiting for the ball.
Adrian Wilson
Tackles: 80 Over
Sacks: 2.5 Over--I think we'll see more of Rhodes taking Wilson's SS roles and Rashad Johnson playing FS in nickel packages
INTs: 1.5 Under
Passes defensed: 11.5 Over--Blow up some guys this year, ADub
Patrick Peterson
Sacks: 0.5 Over
INTs: 2.5 Under--if only because teams are going to stop throwing at him, and there aren't as many elite WRs on the schedule this year as last to test him.
Passes defensed: 14.5 Over
Greg Toler
Starts: 6.5 Over -- I think he wins the starting job in camp; the responsibilities aren't that different from what he was doing before
INTs: 1.5 Under
Passes defensed: 10.5 Over
William Gay
Starts: 6.5 Under, but he'll get some starts because we'll start some games in 5 or 6 DB packages
INTs: 0.5 Over--2
Passes defensed: 11.5 Under--he's not starting.
Jamell Fleming
Starts: 5.5 Way, way under.
INTs: 0.5 Under--sorry, rook.
Passes defensed: 7.5 Under
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kerouac9
Klowned by Keim
I just don't think that's the case. Part of the reason that the Steelers D has been great is that they've had a decade worth of toothless offenses. It's easy to be a Top 10 D when you're playing the Browns, Bengals, and Ravens every year. Until recently, the only offense in their division that they had to worry about was Indy's.
We didn't have a dominating defensive performance against the Seahawks, Browns, or Rams to end the year. They were just terrible offenses. I think that the defense will be improved over what we saw at the beginning of 2011, but are we going to hold the Packes, Patriots, Falcons, and Lions under 20 points? I doubt it.
We become unstoppable at home and run the table this year and pick up an upset on the road. They were 6-2 at home last year and the team will be even better this season. Could even go 7-1 at home and knock off two teams we aren't supposed to beat on the road.
Heck once we upset the Patriots we might even get 15 seconds instead of 5 on the various highlight shows. Split with Stl and Seattle and sweep the 49ers.
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Crimson Warrior
Dangerous Murray Zealot
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Crimson Warrior
Dangerous Murray Zealot
interesting take on Dan's QB sacks. I thought you liked Williams talent, and good NTs/DTs can get three sacks a year if they keep working until the whistle blows. To me, Williams has shown flashes of being exceptionally disruptive. The type of guy that can occasionally beat a double team bad enough to have a clean shot at QB taking a seven step drop. i guess we'll see.
I don't see that using sacks to rate DWilliams is relevant considering he comes out on almost all passing downs because the Cards seem to love that 2-4-5 alignment in any situation where the other team may pass.
Crimson Warrior
Dangerous Murray Zealot
Excellent points, and I agree that Williams main value will come from his efforts to stop running plays on first and second down.
Still, in a pass-happy NFL, I would be surprised if Dan couldn't get three sacks in a season (e.g. just by having a QB run right into him after dockett or campbell had flushed the QB out of the pocket).
TJ
Frank Kaminsky is my Hero.
OFFENSE:
Kevin Kolb
Starts: 9.5 OVER
Completion %: 62.5 Under
Yards: 2800 OVER
TDs: 19.5 OVER
INTs: 9.5 OVER
John Skelton
Starts: 5.5 UNDER
Completion %: 60 UNDER
Yards: 2200 UNDER
TDs: 11.5 UNDER
INTs: 11.5 UNDER
Chris "Beanie" Wells
Starts: 12.5 OVER
Attempts: 230 OVER
Yards: 950 OVER
TDs: 9 OVER
Ryan Williams
Starts: 3.5 UNDER
Attempts: 120 OVER
Rushing Yards: 750 UNDER
Receptions: 24.5 UNDER
Receiving Yards: 200 OVER
TDs: 4.5 UNDER
LaRod Stephens-Howling
Attempts: 29.5 OVER
Receptions: 9.5 OVER
Larry Fitzgerald
Receptions: 75 OVER
Yards: 1450 UNDER
TDs: 9.5 UNDER
Andre Roberts
Receptions: 60 UNDER
Yards: 600 UNDER
TDs: 4 UNDER
Early Doucet
Receptions: 45 UNDER
Yards: 500 UNDER
TDs: 4 UNDER
Michael Floyd
Games: 12 OVER
Starts: 4.5 OVER
Receptions: 39.5 OVER
Yards: 450 OVER
TDs: 4 OVER
Todd Heap
Games: 11.5 Under
Starts: 8.5 Under
Receptions: 20 Over
TDs: 1.5 Over
Jeff King
Receptions: 20 UNDER
TDs: 1.5 OVER
Rob Housler
Receptions: 29.5 UNDER
TDs: 2.5 OVER
Levi Brown
Sacks Allowed: 8.5 OVER
Blown blocks: 11.5 OVER
Jeremy Bridges
Starts: 7.5 UNDER
Kevin Kolb
Starts: 9.5 OVER
Completion %: 62.5 Under
Yards: 2800 OVER
TDs: 19.5 OVER
INTs: 9.5 OVER
John Skelton
Starts: 5.5 UNDER
Completion %: 60 UNDER
Yards: 2200 UNDER
TDs: 11.5 UNDER
INTs: 11.5 UNDER
Chris "Beanie" Wells
Starts: 12.5 OVER
Attempts: 230 OVER
Yards: 950 OVER
TDs: 9 OVER
Ryan Williams
Starts: 3.5 UNDER
Attempts: 120 OVER
Rushing Yards: 750 UNDER
Receptions: 24.5 UNDER
Receiving Yards: 200 OVER
TDs: 4.5 UNDER
LaRod Stephens-Howling
Attempts: 29.5 OVER
Receptions: 9.5 OVER
Larry Fitzgerald
Receptions: 75 OVER
Yards: 1450 UNDER
TDs: 9.5 UNDER
Andre Roberts
Receptions: 60 UNDER
Yards: 600 UNDER
TDs: 4 UNDER
Early Doucet
Receptions: 45 UNDER
Yards: 500 UNDER
TDs: 4 UNDER
Michael Floyd
Games: 12 OVER
Starts: 4.5 OVER
Receptions: 39.5 OVER
Yards: 450 OVER
TDs: 4 OVER
Todd Heap
Games: 11.5 Under
Starts: 8.5 Under
Receptions: 20 Over
TDs: 1.5 Over
Jeff King
Receptions: 20 UNDER
TDs: 1.5 OVER
Rob Housler
Receptions: 29.5 UNDER
TDs: 2.5 OVER
Levi Brown
Sacks Allowed: 8.5 OVER
Blown blocks: 11.5 OVER
Jeremy Bridges
Starts: 7.5 UNDER
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kerouac9
Klowned by Keim
My final entry for this series. I'm not as rosy as a lot of you on the prospects of the team for 2011. I think we'll be a better team but end up significantly worse in the standings, because we have a harder schedule and the defense especially was not as good as a lot of people are thinking they are.
Jay Feeley
FG %: 84.5 Over--He better be. Feeley was 25th in the NFL last year in FG% (79), although he didn't have many chances (24) and a third of them were from deep, 6 of 9 from 40+ yards out. This team can't continue to win close games with Feeley being undependable.
Touchback %: 34.5 Under--I was roundly booed last preseason for complaining that Feeley wasn't kicking them out of the back of the end zone like most of the other kickers in the NFL. Turns out he just doesn't have the leg. It's surprising that the Cards didn't make more of an effort to bring in competition for him.
LaRod Stephens-Howling
KRet Average: 25 OVER -- This is a pretty easy target to surpass, but I can't shake the feeling that The Hypen's RFA tender will quickly be something the Cards come to regret.
KRet TDs: 0.5 Under -- It's too hard, but hopefully LSH is focusing on his coverage teams and decision-making about bringing the ball out.
Patrick Peterson
Punt Returns: 39.5 Under -- It's mystifying that Peterson was 4th in the NFL in returns last season, and only in part because it's difficult to believe the defense forced that many punts.
Yards per Return: 16.5 Under -- Last year's 15.9 average is going to be impossible to replicate, even if Peterson is going to have fewer opportunities to bring it back.
Return TDs: 2.5 Under -- Maybe one or two.
Wins: 7.5 Under -- I think seven wins is most likely, but the Cards are more likely to win 6 or fewer games than they are 8 with this schedule.
Offensive Ranking: 17.5 Higher -- I think/hope that Housler/Williams/Floyd is worth an extra 10 yards per game.
Defensive Ranking: 15.5 Lower -- the 2011 Cards ranked 18th on defense despite having 7 games against bottom 10 offenses, and 9 games against below-average offenses. 2012's schedule features 5 games against 2011's Top 10 offenses.
Division Ranking: 2.5 Lower -- I think we finish 3rd, behind the 49ers and Seahawks (who have a better D and more favorable schedule)
To Make Active Roster:
Ryan Lindley - Yes Makes 53
Richard Bartel - No Cut
Michael Adams - Yes Makes 53
D'Anthony Batiste - No Cut
Justin Bethel - No Cut and moved to practice squad, although Darren Urban disagrees with me.
Crezdon Butler - Yes Makes 53
Jim Dray - Yes Makes 53 as 4th TE and backup FB
Marshay Green - No Cut
Quentin Groves - Yes Makes 53 for special teams
A.J. Jefferson - No Cut -- Krang will be heartbroken.
Senio Kelemete - Yes Makes 53
Marcus McGraw - Yes Makes 53 on special teams and has great preseason.
Nate Potter - Yes Makes 53
DeMarco Sampson - Yes Makes 53 for special teams
James Sanders - No Cut
Alfonso Smith - No Cut, but he'll be the first call if someone goes on IR, methinks. I can't believe that we'll carry 6 running backs on the roster.
Quan Sturdivant - No Cut.
Stephen Williams - No Cut. So much for the next Randy Moss
I think this defense can be as good as the one we had in 2009. That unit finished 20th in the NFL in yardage, but it was because we faced a lot of good offensive teams (Indy, Houston, Carolina, Green Bay in the regular season). We did a good job more or less stifling mediocre teams. The problem is that I'm not confident that the offense can keep us up with better offenses.
Jay Feeley
FG %: 84.5 Over--He better be. Feeley was 25th in the NFL last year in FG% (79), although he didn't have many chances (24) and a third of them were from deep, 6 of 9 from 40+ yards out. This team can't continue to win close games with Feeley being undependable.
Touchback %: 34.5 Under--I was roundly booed last preseason for complaining that Feeley wasn't kicking them out of the back of the end zone like most of the other kickers in the NFL. Turns out he just doesn't have the leg. It's surprising that the Cards didn't make more of an effort to bring in competition for him.
LaRod Stephens-Howling
KRet Average: 25 OVER -- This is a pretty easy target to surpass, but I can't shake the feeling that The Hypen's RFA tender will quickly be something the Cards come to regret.
KRet TDs: 0.5 Under -- It's too hard, but hopefully LSH is focusing on his coverage teams and decision-making about bringing the ball out.
Patrick Peterson
Punt Returns: 39.5 Under -- It's mystifying that Peterson was 4th in the NFL in returns last season, and only in part because it's difficult to believe the defense forced that many punts.
Yards per Return: 16.5 Under -- Last year's 15.9 average is going to be impossible to replicate, even if Peterson is going to have fewer opportunities to bring it back.
Return TDs: 2.5 Under -- Maybe one or two.
Wins: 7.5 Under -- I think seven wins is most likely, but the Cards are more likely to win 6 or fewer games than they are 8 with this schedule.
Offensive Ranking: 17.5 Higher -- I think/hope that Housler/Williams/Floyd is worth an extra 10 yards per game.
Defensive Ranking: 15.5 Lower -- the 2011 Cards ranked 18th on defense despite having 7 games against bottom 10 offenses, and 9 games against below-average offenses. 2012's schedule features 5 games against 2011's Top 10 offenses.
Division Ranking: 2.5 Lower -- I think we finish 3rd, behind the 49ers and Seahawks (who have a better D and more favorable schedule)
To Make Active Roster:
Ryan Lindley - Yes Makes 53
Richard Bartel - No Cut
Michael Adams - Yes Makes 53
D'Anthony Batiste - No Cut
Justin Bethel - No Cut and moved to practice squad, although Darren Urban disagrees with me.
Crezdon Butler - Yes Makes 53
Jim Dray - Yes Makes 53 as 4th TE and backup FB
Marshay Green - No Cut
Quentin Groves - Yes Makes 53 for special teams
A.J. Jefferson - No Cut -- Krang will be heartbroken.
Senio Kelemete - Yes Makes 53
Marcus McGraw - Yes Makes 53 on special teams and has great preseason.
Nate Potter - Yes Makes 53
DeMarco Sampson - Yes Makes 53 for special teams
James Sanders - No Cut
Alfonso Smith - No Cut, but he'll be the first call if someone goes on IR, methinks. I can't believe that we'll carry 6 running backs on the roster.
Quan Sturdivant - No Cut.
Stephen Williams - No Cut. So much for the next Randy Moss
I think this defense can be as good as the one we had in 2009. That unit finished 20th in the NFL in yardage, but it was because we faced a lot of good offensive teams (Indy, Houston, Carolina, Green Bay in the regular season). We did a good job more or less stifling mediocre teams. The problem is that I'm not confident that the offense can keep us up with better offenses.
OP
OP
kerouac9
Klowned by Keim
I think the pass-happy NFL keeps Dan Williams off the field for more than 40% of downs. Williams isn't going to run down quarterbacks who are flushed out of the pocket to the edges by the defensive ends before they cross the line of scrimmage with any regularity. Williams could collect a garbage sack or two over the course of a year when QBs are forced to step up into the pocket, but those plays take longer to develop, and I'm not sure that Williams is on the field when the QB is taking a five- or seven-step drop.
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