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with the way the PAC-10 is going.. I honeslty believe 9-9 will get in regardless.. assuming 9-9 is 6th place or better....
Obviously winning is going to take care of a lot of things.. but we also need to keep an eye on Oregon, USC, Cal, Arizona, with WSU, UCLA, and Stanford locking up births, IMO, 3 out of those 5 will make it..
And if USC falters with the loss of HAckett, and Oregon who still has to make to SoCal, and play WSU, it could be VERY close..
Ultimatly if I am being honest, 1 of Cal, ASU, Oregon will make it....
Stanford-L
Cal-W
@WSU-L
@Wash-L
UCLA-L
USC-W
@Oregon-L
@OSU- W
I see us realistically at 8-10... and that would put us at a #7 seed.. I think we will prolly need atleast 2 wins in the Pac-10 touney (meaning an opening round win against OSU, and then beating Stanford which I think we would have a legit shot at doing)
It will be tough but they can do it. IMO, We need to split every series then win 1-2 games in the Pac-10 tourny to be an automatic. Sweeping the norcal schools this weekend would be an unbelievable start. I hate Brooke Lopez and would love for Pendegraph to shut him down. That kid's a punk
Huge win against Stanford... Should go a LONG way, considering we now have 3 wins over Ranked opponents, and play in the PAC-10....
Now it is SO IMPORTANT, not to have a let down against Cal, a win against Cal, and the Devils will have an inside track at getting into the Tournament!
Not yet. Too many good teams everywhere. If Stanford gets blown out by UA and we lose to Cal this weekend, our win tonight will carry little weight.
Yep, it's way too early to project a bubble team like ASU. We're still saddled with a weak nonconference schedule. If we finish at .500 in the PAC 10 and lose the first game of the tournament, we'll be an NIT team. Even with a win or two, a few upsets in other conference tournaments could result in us getting bumped.
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If we go .500 in conference, it's not a lock. I let the excitement get the better of me. But I believe it would be very likely due to our good wins. I think we're one of only 5 or 6 teams in the country with 4 wins against top 25 RPI opponents.
Hopefully the devils will get 4 more wins and this won't matter.
A .500 finish and we are in the tournament, assuming we stay out of the play-in game, period.
Why?
Though the Devils RPI might not be that strong (#59 as it stands right now, and will only improve with the remaing schedule), ASU has 4 wins agaisnt the top 25 in the RPI... 4
To put this into perspective, only Purdue (Big-10 Leader), Texas (Virtual Tie Big-12 leader), and Duke (ACC leader) have as many wins as the Devils....
When it comes to selection Sunday, and ASU is 19-12, or 20-12... They will look at quality of conference (#1), Quality of Wins (As of this moment we have enough quality wins for an at-large birth), and how they finish the season....
So a win against Cal tommarrow, a split in Washington, assuming we get the Oregon St game, we will only need 1 win against USC, UCLA, and @Oregon to secure a winning record in the Pac-10, and if that is the case, we are in automatically.. But as of right now, ASU has their fate in their hands, and barring a late collapse (losing to Cal, Washington, Oregon St. would be considered collasping) the Devils are in!
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