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vBookie Event: US Election Parlay Card (Politics)
This event is over.
vBookie Event
US Election Parlay Card (Politics)

This event is over.

Outcome Odds Total Bets Total Staked
1. Obama loses PV, wins EV 99/1 (99.00) 7 1310  
2. McCain loses PV, wins EV 99/1 (99.00) 6 510  
3. Obama wins 375+ EV 2/1 (2.00) 1 100  
4. Obama loses OH, Wins EV (270+) 6/1 (6.00) 7 1610  
5. Obama loses OH & FL, Wins EV (270+) 8/1 (8.00) 1 500  
6. Obama wins all Kerry States 1/1 (1.00) 5 450 WIN!
7. Obama wins VA and Loses OH 7/1 (7.00) 3 1200  
8. Obama wins FL and Loses OH 42/1 (42.00) 8 860  
9. Obama wins CO and Loses OH 7/1 (7.00) 3 300  
10. Obama Wins Exactly 353 EV 6/1 (6.00) 0 0  
11. Obama Wins Exactly 364 EV 6/1 (6.00) 0 0  
12. Obama Wins Exactly 375 EV 6/1 (6.00) 0 0  
13. Obama Wins Exactly 311 EV 6/1 (6.00) 1 100  
14. Obama Wins Exactly 378 EV 6/1 (6.00) 0 0  
15. Obama Wins EV total OTHER than items 11-14. 6/1 (6.00) 9 7205 WIN!
16. Obama ends with a even EV total. 1/1 (1.00) 1 100  
17. Obama ends with an odd EV total. 1/1 (1.00) 1 100 WIN!
18. Dems control a min of 58 Senate seats (incl. Ind) 1/1 (1.00) 0 0  
19. Dems control a min of 60 Senate seats (incl. Ind) 4/1 (4.00) 1 100 WIN!
20. Dems control a min of 62 Senate seats (inc. Ind) 9/1 (9.00) 0 0  
21. Obama wins AZ 19/1 (19.00) 9 1293  
22. McCain wins AZ 1/19 F (0.05) 1 100 WIN!
23. Obama wins FL 1/2 (0.50) 1 100 WIN!
24. McCain wins FL 2/1 (2.00) 2 200  
25. Obama wins IN 2/1 (2.00) 0 0 WIN!
26. McCain wins IN 1/2 (0.50) 1 100  
27. Obama wins MO 1/1 (1.00) 0 0  
28. McCain wins MO 1/1 (1.00) 1 100 WIN!
29. Obama wins MT 9/1 (9.00) 4 350  
30. McCain wins MT 1/9 (0.11) 2 200 WIN!
31. Obama wins NC 1/2 (0.50) 2 200 WIN!
32. McCain wins NC 2/1 (2.00) 0 0  
33. Obama wins ND 3/1 (3.00) 1 100  
34. McCain wins ND 1/3 (0.33) 0 0 WIN!
35. Obama wins NV 1/4 (0.25) 1 100 WIN!
36. McCain wins NV 4/1 (4.00) 3 400  
37. Obama wins OH 1/4 (0.25) 1 100 WIN!
38. McCain wins OH 4/1 (4.00) 5 410  
39. Franken wins MN Senate Seat 1/1 (1.00) 1 100 WIN!
40. Coleman wins MN Senate Seat 1/1 (1.00) 1 200 WIN!
41. Hagan wins NC Senate Seat 1/3 (0.33) 0 0 WIN!
42. Dole wins NC Senate Seat 3/1 (3.00) 0 0  
43. Obama over 51.5% of the Popular Vote 3/2 (1.50) 12 6927 WIN!
44. Obama under 51.5% of the Popular Vote 2/1 (2.00) 3 2448  

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Old November 10th, 2008, 05:49 PM   #31
KloD
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Is that double or nothing, KloD?
lol let's see where his sanity is just prior to next election.
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Old November 11th, 2008, 06:16 AM   #32
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lol let's see where his sanity is just prior to next election.


I should have broken it all out - hindsight and all.

Next time I'll omit the town council races from DE

Alaska - ADN is reporting that the majority of the early uncounted ballots should be counted by tomorrow evening. Final accounting is scheduled for Nov. 19.

MN - In recount. Should be settled by Dec. 1

If you all want to settle this, let me know, and I will. I need permission from:

[I have sent a private message to all outstanding betters and am awaiting their answer.]

FYI, if settled now, I will state that Coleman will win the MN senate race, which resolves all unsettled bets.
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Old November 11th, 2008, 06:55 AM   #33
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EV 365 http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Provisional. Fingers crossed!
Please settle at 365 EV. Thanks.
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Old November 11th, 2008, 01:06 PM   #34
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I should have broken it all out - hindsight and all.

Next time I'll omit the town council races from DE

Alaska - ADN is reporting that the majority of the early uncounted ballots should be counted by tomorrow evening. Final accounting is scheduled for Nov. 19.

MN - In recount. Should be settled by Dec. 1

If you all want to settle this, let me know, and I will. I need permission from:

Beaver; AZZenny; ozzfloyd

FYI, if settled now, I will state that Coleman will win the MN senate race, which resolves all unsettled bets.
I'm good with that.
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Old November 12th, 2008, 07:55 PM   #35
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So, do we get paid interest for #14 and #43 taking so long to pay off?
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Old November 12th, 2008, 08:44 PM   #36
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Speaking of which - hear that in the AK race, the dem candidate now leads by 3 votes?
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Old November 12th, 2008, 09:58 PM   #37
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So, do we get paid interest for #14 and #43 taking so long to pay off?

I meant to say #15.
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Old November 12th, 2008, 10:25 PM   #38
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I meant to say #15.
None of them have paid yet.
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Old November 14th, 2008, 09:35 PM   #39
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Obama got 1 EV in NE. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081114/...Dp4IF5i5ph24cA

At 365. Even if he takes 11 in MO, I win #15. Right?
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Old November 15th, 2008, 08:47 PM   #40
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Obama got 1 EV in NE. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081114/...Dp4IF5i5ph24cA

At 365. Even if he takes 11 in MO, I win #15. Right?
Correct. The only outstanding bets at this point are who wins the MN senate race and if the DNC will get 60 seats in the Senate.

If MN is settled for Coleman, I can close this bet.
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Old November 18th, 2008, 06:24 PM   #41
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The Alaskan senator's race has been called for Begich.

MN Race - Manual Recount begins tomorrow. Coleman is leading by 211 votes.
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Old November 21st, 2008, 08:21 AM   #42
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After 40% of the ballots have been recounted, Coleman's lead is now down to 136.
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Old November 21st, 2008, 08:27 AM   #43
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This is almost fodder for a separate bet.
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Old November 25th, 2008, 08:11 AM   #44
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W00t!
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