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Originally Posted by Divide Et Impera
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In comparison to the decades worth of Global-Leading growth, yes - America has, is and will continue to experience momentary downturns.
The current downturn has yet to run it's full, debilitating course so it's far too early to size this one up. However, there are many who are already suggesting that we may very well be approaching, or have already hit a bottom in the Dow and the real estate markets... granted - even if they are right, these "bottom" levels are painful... I actually believe 2009 could well be worse on the global consumer (particularly American)... I think from a corporate perspective, '09 will be terribly painful as well. We are already seeing many corporations scaling back their earnings estimates for the 4th quarter of '08 and into 2009. What this will mean to unemployment remains to be seen, however it would be a safe bet to assume that more pain lies ahead...
But should we begin to spin out of this at some point in 2009 or early 2010, yes - this will have been another relative momentary downturn...