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I'd pick Johnson. I had him at #1 but now at #2 with Roaf gone. He is still a great RB and should still put up great numbers. He still has a very good o-line and TE to block for him. Alexander had the best year of his career, he won't repeat that especially without Hutchinson who I think was even more important than Roaf.
Hmm, Stevens injury could bump up Alexander now. With him being injured for about 3 weeks, Alexander should get some more touchdowns...this makes it even closer so I'll go with the majority now and pick Shaun. I don't believe in the Madden curse.